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Slot Rankings - How Wide Receivers Score More Touchdowns in the Slot
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Slot Efficiency
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Perimeter Efficiency
We all know wide receivers are more likely to score touchdowns when they're capable of hitting perimeter targets, rather than slot targets. This is because they are usually focused downfield and typically face one on one coverage. What might be surprising to people is the different between the top five slot receivers and the rest when it comes to scoring on targets that are located in the perimeter.
Of the wide receivers who have been on at least 40 targets in each of the two seasons the top five slot scorers on perimeter routes were all speed receivers: Mike Evans, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett and Michael Gallup. The bottom of this list is dominated by receivers who are more possession-based, like Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnston. The Bucs will likely move the latter two into the slot more often during this season, which should increase their targets. However, they'll need to improve their scoring on the perimeter in order to maintain their top-of-the-line performance.
The slot is a great option for wideouts who are quick, as they can get open more quickly when their route will not be covered by a linebacker or cornerback. Corey Coleman is the only wide receiver who isn't a speedy wideout, but could benefit from more slot time. He's a good target for short and intermediate routes.
The bottom of the list includes more possession-based receivers that are more effective on short and intermediate routes than those in deep areas, such as Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. Jeudy is a good sleeper pick this year since he'll be the primary slot receiver for the Rams while Courtland Sutton and Amari Cooper are likely to play on more downfield targets. Hamler is expected to thrive on more short-to-middle and intermediate routes, as that's where he excelled while playing for the Bills in 2021. Hamler could be a fantastic replacement for the former wideout Jordan Matthews.
Percentage of Snaps In Slot
The amount of snaps a receiver makes in the slot can be a good indicator for their ability to run routes deep. It is not always a reliable indicator of a receiver’s skill set, as some receivers are better in the slot, but they can't play further.
For instance For instance, the Eagles Alshon Jeffery leads the league in targets per game (4.8) however, he is ranked sixth in slot receiving score (58.5). This is because most of his targets come from the outside and it's difficult to score a first-down on a wide-open deep route in that situation.
On the other hand, certain receivers excel in playing inside, but struggle on the outer. For example, the Panthers gave Robby Anderson 978 snaps last season, and he ran a whopping 74 percent of his slot routes as opposed to just 26% on boundary routes. This is a huge difference that shows how much more productive Anderson is when he is aligned to the slot.
Additionally, the Buccaneers' Chris Godwin lines up inside on most of his passing downs, and has a top five slot receiving score (58.5). However he also ran 51% of his perimeter routes last season, and is a star in one-on-one coverage.
Speed receivers tend to be more effective when they line up inside. They are able to be targeted further down the field and are often swarmed by one-on-one coverage. This is why you'll find names like Julio Jones, Mike Evans, and Amari Cooper on the top five spots of our list.
On the flip side, we've got some great slot cornerbacks such as McDuffie and Moore in this group. McDuffie is the leader in the NFL in forced fumbles with seven, and Moore has the best tackle-stop performance (-3.5) on this list. Spagnuolo increased McDuffie's capabilities by placing his slot for nickel and dime packages, and then moving him to the outside when playing base defense. Moore's ability to stop big run plays is a major asset when playing the slot.
Percentage of Snaps Outside
While the NFL's top receivers like Baldwin, Golden Tate and Larry Fitzgerald excel on the perimeter, it's also worth noting that their slot counterparts are equally good. As a whole wide receivers who have high slot receiving grades score touchdowns around the same rate as those who are on the edge. This is due to the fact that quarterbacks are more consistent with their target distribution when they throw to outside and slot wide receivers, as opposed to other inside options such as tight ends and backfield passers.
It's therefore interesting to see a receiver like CeeDee lamb on this list for 2022. He plays the slot in 3 WR sets, and flanker in 2 of them. He's actually running more routes in the slot than a lot of the players listed on this chart. This is a great opportunity to increase matchup benefits for your team. It also helps to explain why Lamb is the top-rated receiver in our system.
He also plays at the X-position and makes big plays outside. Lamb isn't as fast as the other players in this ranking but he is still an elite wide receiver that is well-suited to the Cowboys scheme.
Mecole Hardman is yet another example of a player capable of posting big numbers on both types of targets. He's among the best players in the game at taking throws from behind his shoulders. He's also a great player who can play contested catch.
Jalen Hilton is another player who is a slot specialist. He has lined up in this position on 85.7 percent his defensive snaps so far this season. He's allowed the third-lowest target EPA and the fifth-best run stop EPA for cornerbacks that are aligned in the slot, making him an important part of his team's defense. He's struggled to stop passes from the outside, and his EPA against this type of target is negative. This is due to him playing with safety and linebackers who aren't able to match Hilton's speed, size and route-running abilities.
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