Notes

What history shows: How will the war in Ukraine end? Russia-Ukraine war
Ukraine's air defenses have been surprisingly effective against Russia's air force. That said, there wasn't much of a political will for third countries to sanction Cuba at the time. It's possible today's situation with Russia might make such a policy more politically palatable if the U.S. attempted it again, though I can't find any serious proposal in the government to do just that. It is theoretically possible for the U.S. to sanction countries that maintain economic ties with Russia. The best precedent for this is perhaps the Helms–Burton Act, which extended U.S. sanctions on Cuba toward any foreign company doing business with both Cuba and the U.S. at the same time.

The West could — as Ukraine has sought — supply even more sophisticated weapons, faster, in the hope of convincing Russia that it cannot win. President Putin could seek to regain more parts of Russia's former empire by sending troops into ex-Soviet republics like Moldova and Georgia, that are not part of Nato. This, in turn, would likely weaken the regime and distract Russia from what remains of its war effort. It is unlikely now that Russia would be able to turn the war around entirely and achieve its original aims, but it could accept a "victory" in the form of a peace deal in which it takes more territory than it had before the invasion began.
"Today I am submitting to the Verkhovna Rada a key draft law that will allow the adoption of comprehensive legislative amendments and the introduction of multiple citizenship," Zelenskyy said in a statement. A day of mourning in Donetsk was declared by Russian authorities Monday. Pushilin also claimed Ukraine had used cluster munitions in the strike, which the Kremlin described as a terrorist attack.

Ukraine will press Russia around Crimea
Yes, Russian forces could try to go on the offensive again, but the likely futility of attacking fortified Ukrainian positions now backed by the threat of NATO firepower would be a strong deterrent. Meanwhile, sanctions on Russia would remain; its economic and military strength would continue to erode; and Putin could only watch as his frozen assets abroad are drawn down to pay for Ukraine’s reconstruction. The first and most obvious way for Ukraine to win would be for its armed forces to take back all the territory Russia has unlawfully seized since its first invasion in 2014 —
including Crimea.


While this scenario might appear positive for Ukraine, with Russia becoming a pariah state at a global level and withdrawing after a costly invasion, Ukraine would be "devastated" in the process, the strategists said. In this scenario, the strategists noted that a Ukrainian insurgency could force "a significant, sustained human and financial toll on Russia" as it would be required to devote far more of its resources over a much longer period of time than it had anticipated. In the meantime, NATO countries "would likely provide covert but very robust defensive assistance to the Ukrainian resistance." There are many questions over who could lead a loyalist regime in Ukraine, one that could resemble that of Belarus' Alexander Lukashenko. Kuzio noted that there has been speculation about Moscow seeking to install former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who was stripped of his powers by Ukrainian lawmakers during the 2014 Maidan Revolution and fled Kyiv for Russia. Resistance to Russian forces is likely to get tougher as the war progresses and Russia pulls out the stops to seize more territory.

Kremlin calls Donetsk market strike a 'monstrous act of terrorism'
We now know the Russian leader is willing to break long-standing international norms. But it was a reminder that Russian doctrine allows for the possible use of tactical nuclear weapons on the battlefield. Russia said the Ukrainian forces' strike on Donetsk will be discussed at a U.N. "The Russian Foreign Ministry called on all responsible governments and international structures to condemn this terrorist attack," news agency Tass reported. So if Russia manages to stymie plans A and B, where would that leave us by, say this time next year? Should Ukraine and its allies simply carry on, hoping for a breakthrough in 2025 or beyond?

But that would turn those territories into "quasi-independent mini states controlled by Russia", and enable Moscow to have a profound influence on Ukraine's foreign and domestic policies, Mr Allan says. To avoid that scenario, NATO would likely first turn to increased sanctions and support Ukraine with weapons. As painful as it is to make compromises in a negotiated settlement, Mr Cancian says Kyiv and Moscow may one day decide peace is the only way forward. The rapidity and the fury with which the United States, Europe, and major Asian economies (Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Australia) slapped severe sanctions on Russia almost certainly came as a shock to China’s leaders.
But only if there is political will, and that is something Russia and Ukraine accuse each other of not having. Under the Minsk agreements, elections must be held according to Ukrainian law and that is possible only if they control the border, he insists. That is why Ukraine insists it should regain control of the frontier before local elections are held. Another major stumbling block is how to implement the deal's political provisions. But that would turn https://bagge-albrechtsen.mdwrite.net/russias-wanton-destruction-against-ukraine-must-be-stopped-uk-statement-to-the-osce-1707857963 into "quasi-independent mini states controlled by Russia", and enable Moscow to have a profound influence on Ukraine's foreign and domestic policies, Mr Allan says.


A deal was reached in 2015 between Ukraine's then-president Petro Poroshenko and Russia's Vladimir Putin. For seven years, a war has been going on in eastern Ukraine and now Russia is accused by the West of threatening an invasion. In numerous speeches, the president has declared that Ukraine must militarize itself for a life in constant threat, while developing an anti-aircraft defense system that allows its cities to develop, despite periodic Russian bombings. However, Kotkin has criticized this idea of transforming Ukraine “into a fortress state” because “it doesn’t help achieve lasting peace.” He also adds that this model wouldn’t match the requirements for EU membership. The German case has also been widely used to understand what the future holds for Ukraine.


Here's my website: https://bagge-albrechtsen.mdwrite.net/russias-wanton-destruction-against-ukraine-must-be-stopped-uk-statement-to-the-osce-1707857963