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The progression of robotics will largely be determined by related industries: the science of materials and advances in computer technology. Analysts have identified the key trends in the industry for an additional 5 years.
People usually overestimate the impact of the latest technology in the future and underestimate its impact eventually.
But it doesn't negate the truth that the expert community, their state and business need a roadmap for the progression of innovative industries later on.
The authors with the annual survey with the home and industrial robots market discussed with experts the basic trends in this region and in the report for 2021 presented 11 areas that over the following 5 years could have the best influence on the development of robotics in the world.
1. New materials
Even whenever we consider the simplest industrial manipulators, in 2019 there are approximately 3.5 thousand people per robot, and this ratio is unlikely to grow without radical alterations in the science of materials that robotics is made, the authors with the review are sure. They pay special awareness of two promising materials:
gallium nitride (GaN), which could successfully replace silicon for transistor manufacturing;
graphene, a super-thin and super-strong material from which you'll be able to produce actuators for robots, new batteries plus much more.
2. New sources of energy, technologies because of its collection and storage
Considering how much heat generated with the combustion of gasoline along with the human requirement of energy, you can easily calculate that if individuals were eating gasoline, they'd really need 150 g of fuel daily. In turn, electric motors are now even less power efficient than an internal combustion engine. In order for robots as a way to tackle humans in their capabilities, breakthrough technologies are needed within their energy supply.
For example, this can be a improvement of current lithium batteries, the creation of new batteries determined by hydrogen, and the like. Also, we have to not forget about alternative, alternative energy. Finally, a technology may be carried out recharge the robot remotely, for instance, from energy sources built into a floor or walls.
3. Interaction of teams of robots and people
These are unmanned traffic management systems. To avoid accidents and accidents, transport robots should have a channel of communication both with humans along with the other.
4. Navigation in extreme conditions
Robots should be aware what they're doing and where they are moving not just under normal human conditions, but additionally where people cannot make it: for example, in high altitude or on the seabed.
In addition, situations can not be excluded if the robot will continue to be completely without communication (for example, underground or even in the big event of an satellite breakdown). In this case, you should create a fully autonomous navigation system for unmanned devices. Similar developments already exist both abroad plus Russia.
5. Machine learning
The progression of artificial intelligence is necessary to create truly useful and "smart" robots. Over the years to come, Sberbank analysts identify four fundamental vectors of development of this type:
increasing the efficiency of using neural networks by making their architecture more complex or reducing power consumption;
teaching algorithmic procedures instead of hard programming, which will simplify and, therefore, increase the entire process of acquiring skills from the machine;
mass adoption of cloud services for machine learning;
improvement of motional actions of robots as a result of artificial intelligence technologies.
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6. Human-machine interaction
The robot economy, like all other innovative technologies, is around increasing productivity. That is, automation isn't an end alone, but an instrument to increase economic efficiency. The authors of the review are likely to feel that the most effective result will likely be shown not by replacing people who have robots, but by their cooperation. According to them, the interaction of robots and humans will establish in four main areas:
a robot as a power tool that repeats human capabilities (for example, exoskeletons and prostheses);
robot as an instrument that expands human capabilities;
an avatar robot, that is certainly, a product remotely controlled by a person in hard-to-reach places;
social interaction having a person, such as voice assistants and chat bots.
The Emotional Robot: How a Startup is Changing the Customer Communications Industry
7. Manipulation robotics
The authors of the Sberbank report believe in the next five-years were unlikely to find out a breakthrough in hardware technologies for robots ("hardware"), but the progression of software will heighten the capabilities and reduce the expenses of manipulation technology.
First of all, we are talking about increasing the feedback of sensors. Robot, grabbing an item, could have to inform the operator in detail about how heavy it is, dimensions, compression force, etc. Also, new computer technologies is likely to make it possible to program more complex trajectories of motion of manipulators.
8. Sensorics
One from the definitions with the idea of "robot", that this analysts of Sberbank comply with, says that it is a product that is capable of perceive the world around it by making use of sensors, process the signals received in this way and react accordingly. Reducing the cost, simplifying and increasing the capabilities of sensorics is one in the key trends in the growth and development of robotics inside the coming years.
9. Robosimulators
Large quantities of data are expected to teach robots. To receive them, it just isn't necessary to build a model of your robot - it sometimes might be economically unprofitable, often even dangerous for an individual. Therefore, the volume of advance of computer simulators of an robot will only increase with the expansion of automation.
10. New drive
Fundamentally, the principles of producing drive mechanisms are unlikely to change, but even here the authors of the review locate a field for innovation. In addition to the new super-strong materials specified within the first paragraph, these might be new motors and gearboxes.
11. Design and production
Again, this really is primarily about software innovation. Libraries of electronic components, high-quality digital diaries, virtual reality tools can simplify the product design process.
At the assembly stage, the progress of robotics will be stimulated by the emergence of recent materials, their decrease in price, along with the progression of 3D printing. It also requires optimization of software, that can make it easier and faster to produce new machines.
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