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While the research community widely recognizes the importance of post-occupancy measurement of buildings to verify performance, requirements of green building certification schemes are highly varied. To assess the effectiveness of building certification schemes during the operation and maintenance stage of certified buildings, this paper critically reviews recent case studies that report on post-certification performance. The review of relevant case studies from the literature reveals some important findings in relation to the performance gap of certified buildings. Subsequently, major operation and maintenance-related building certification schemes are surveyed to reveal the underlying reasons behind this performance gap. Post-certification actions that require post-occupancy data collection and analysis are identified through this survey and compared to highlight their strengths and shortcomings and pinpoint the major discrepancies in data infrastructure and archiving practices that hinder certified buildings in performing according to their design intent. Lastly, suggestions are extracted which may shed light on the re-certification pathways.Teleworking has been widely perceived as a more sustainable mode of working for knowledge workers compared to the status quo of commuting to centralized offices because of its reduced dependency on transportation and centralized office space. However, the situation is far more complex than would appear on the surface, when the scope is expanded to include home office energy use, the Internet, long-term consumer choices, and other so-called rebound effects. Few studies have quantified home, office, transportation, and communications energy or GHG emissions implications of telecommuting simultaneously. To make progress in answering the question of whether telecommuting results in less energy use and greenhouse gas emissions than conventional centralized office working, this paper reviews results and research methods of primarily quantitative studies of any and all four domains that consider operating energy and/or greenhouse gas emissions. The results ultimately show that this problem is complex, and that current datasets and methods are generally inadequate for fully answering the research question. While most studies indicate some benefit, several suggest teleworking increases energy use - even for the domain that is thought to benefit most transportation.For many countries attempting to control the fast-rising number of coronavirus cases and deaths, the race is on to "flatten the curve," since the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has taken on pandemic proportions. In the absence of significant control interventions, the curve could be steep, with the number of COVID-19 cases growing exponentially. In fact, this level of proliferation may already be happening, since the number of patients infected in Italy closely follows an exponential trend. Thus, we propose a test. When the numbers are taken from an exponential distribution, it has been demonstrated that they automatically follow Benford's Law (BL). As a result, if the current control interventions are successful and we flatten the curve (i.e., we slow the rate below an exponential growth rate), then the number of infections or deaths will not obey BL. For this reason, BL may be useful for assessing the effects of the current control interventions and may be able to answer the question, "How flat is flat enough?" In this study, we used an epidemic growth model in the presence of interventions to describe the potential for a flattened curve, and then investigated whether the epidemic growth model followed BL for ten selected countries with a relatively high mortality rate. Among these countries, South Korea showed a particularly high degree of control intervention. Although all of the countries have aggressively fought the epidemic, our analysis shows that all countries except for Japan satisfied BL, indicating the growth rates of COVID-19 were close to an exponential trend. Based on the simulation table in this study, BL test shows that the data from Japan is incorrect.The spreading of epidemics in complex networks has been a subject of renewed interest of several scientific branches. In this regard, we have focused our attention on the study of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model, within a Monte Carlo numerical simulation approach, representing the spreading of epidemics in a clustered homophilic network. The competition between infection and recovery that drives the system either to an absorbing or to an active phase is analyzed. We estimate the static critical exponents β ∕ ν , 1 ∕ ν and γ ∕ ν , through finite-size scaling (FSS) analysis of the order parameter ρ and its fluctuations, showing that they differ from those associated with the contact process on a scale-free network, as well as those predicted by the heterogeneous mean-field theory.The research on rumor spreading has a long history, and its wanton flooding has brought huge impact on people's life. In the process of its spreading, the individual's activity plays an important role. However, in the complex and changeable environment, randomness cannot be ignored, not to mention its influence on individual activity Based on the I S R model of individual activity, this paper explores the stochastic version of the rumor model including fluctuations in the activity. Then, the influence of Stratonovich stochastic noise on the asymptotic behavior of non-linear rumor spreading model is studied. Through the mathematical analysis, we get the critical values to measure whether the deterministic and stochastics models spread or not, as well as the threshold conditions for rumor to spread wantonly. At the same time, the effects of Stratonovich stochastic noise on the asymptotic behavior of rumor-free equilibrium point E 0 and endemic equilibrium point E ∗ are obtained respectively, and the condition that the rumor-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable in the presence of noise is given. Finally, the theoretical results are verified by numerical simulation.In this article we want to show the potential of an evolutionary algorithm called Topological Weighted Centroid (TWC). This algorithm can obtain new and relevant information from extremely limited and poor datasets. In a world dominated by the concept of big (fat?) data we want to show that it is possible, by necessity or choice, to work profitably even on small data. This peculiarity of the algorithm means that even in the early stages of an epidemic process, when the data are too few to have sufficient statistics, it is possible to obtain important information. To prove our theory, we addressed one of the most central issues at the moment the COVID-19 epidemic. In particular, the cases recorded in Italy have been selected. Italy seems to have a central role in this epidemic because of the high number of measured infections. Through this innovative artificial intelligence algorithm, we have tried to analyze the evolution of the phenomenon and to predict its future steps using a dataset that contained only geospatial coordinates (longitude and latitude) of the first recorded cases. Once the coordinates of the places where at least one case of contagion had been officially diagnosed until February 26th, 2020 had been collected, research and analysis was carried out on outbreak point and related heat map (TWC alpha); probability distribution of the contagion on February 26th (TWC beta); possible spread of the phenomenon in the immediate future and then in the future of the future (TWC gamma and TWC theta); how this passage occurred in terms of paths and mutual influence (Theta paths and Markov Machine). Finally, a heat map of the possible situation towards the end of the epidemic in terms of infectiousness of the areas was drawn up. The analyses with TWC confirm the assumptions made at the beginning.This paper investigates on the alpha-stable distribution capacity to capture the probability of market crashes by means of the dynamic forecasting of its alpha and beta parameters. On the basis of the GARCH-stable model, we design a market crash forecasting methodology that involves three-stepwise procedure (i) Recursively estimation the GARCH-stable parameters through a rolling window; (ii) alpha-stable parameters forecasting according to a VAR model; and (iii) Crash probabilities forecasting and analysis. The model performance for alternative crash definitions is assessed in terms of different accuracy criteria, and compared with a random walk model as benchmark. Our applications to a wide variety of stock indexes for developed and emerging markets reveals a high degree of accuracy and replicability of the results. Hence the model represents an interesting tool for risk management and the design of early warning systems for future crashes.When almost all underlying assets suddenly lose a certain part of their nominal value in a market crash, the diversification effect of portfolios in a normal market condition no longer works. We integrate the crash risk into portfolio management and investigate performance measures, hedging and optimization of portfolio selection involving derivatives. A suitable convex conic programming framework based on parametric approximation method is proposed to make the problem a tractable one. Simulation analysis and empirical study are performed to test the proposed approach.Governments face difficulties in policy making in many areas such as health, food safety, and large-scale projects where public perceptions can be misplaced. For example, the adoption of the MMR vaccine has been opposed due to the publicity indicating an erroneous link between the vaccine and autism. This research proposes the "Parallel Evolution and Response Decision Framework for Public Sentiments" as a real-time decision-making method to simulate and control the public sentiment evolution mechanisms. This framework is based on the theories of Parallel Control and Management (PCM) and System Dynamics (SD) and includes four iterative steps namely, SD modelling, simulating, optimizing, and controlling. A concrete case of an anti-nuclear mass incident that sparked public sentiment in China is introduced as a study sample to test the effectiveness of the proposed method. In addition, the results indicate the effects by adjusting the key control variables of response strategies. These variables include response time, response capacity, and transparency of the government regarding public sentiment. Furthermore, the advantages and disadvantages of the proposed method will be analyzed to determine how it can be used by policy makers in predicting public opinion and offering effective response strategies.We investigate the consequences for the black hole area of introducing fractal structure for the horizon geometry. We create a three-dimensional spherical analogue of a 'Koch Snowflake' using a infinite diminishing hierarchy of touching spheres around the Schwarzschild event horizon. We can create a fractal structure for the horizon with finite volume and infinite (or finite) area. This is a toy model for the possible effects of quantum gravitational spacetime foam, with significant implications for assessments of the entropy of black holes and the universe, which is generally larger than in standard picture of black hole structure and thermodynamics, potentially by very considerable factors. The entropy of the observable universe today becomes S ≈ 10 120 ( 1 + Δ / 2 ) , where 0 ≤ Δ ≤ 1 , with Δ = 0 for a smooth spacetime structure and Δ = 1 for the most intricate. The Hawking lifetime of black holes is also reduced.
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