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Finally, we compare the spatiotemporal properties of SVs and MSVs in an examination of the dynamics of the 2010 Russian heatwave. We show that MSVs provide a systematic approach to generate initial forecast perturbations projected onto relevant expanding directions in phase space for typical NWP forecast lead-times.Despite the vast literature on network dynamics, we still lack basic insights into dynamics on higher-order structures (e.g., edges, triangles, and more generally, k-dimensional "simplices") and how they are influenced through higher-order interactions. A prime example lies in neuroscience where groups of neurons (not individual ones) may provide building blocks for neurocomputation. Here, we study consensus dynamics on edges in simplicial complexes using a type of Laplacian matrix called a Hodge Laplacian, which we generalize to allow higher- and lower-order interactions to have different strengths. Using techniques from algebraic topology, we study how collective dynamics converge to a low-dimensional subspace that corresponds to the homology space of the simplicial complex. We use the Hodge decomposition to show that higher- and lower-order interactions can be optimally balanced to maximally accelerate convergence and that this optimum coincides with a balancing of dynamics on the curl and gradient subspaces. We additionally explore the effects of network topology, finding that consensus over edges is accelerated when two-simplices are well dispersed, as opposed to clustered together.The problem of nonlinear Schrödinger (NLS) waves in a disordered potential arises in many physical occasions, such as hydrodynamics, optics, and cold atoms. It provides a paradigm for studying the interaction between nonlinearity and random effect, but the current results are far from perfect. In this paper, we systematically simulate the turbulent waves for the focusing NLS equation with dynamical (time-dependent) random potentials, where the enhanced branching structures evolve into branched soliton flows as the nonlinearity increases. In this process, the occurrence of rogue waves for short times results from the interplay of linear random focusing and modulation instability. While the nonlinear spectral analysis reveals that for longer times, it is due to a self-organization of larger solitons competing with breakup of intermediate solitons. On the other hand, we found that the strong nonlinearity can significantly increase the width of the linear (Fourier) spectrum for several time scales, but its spreading rate becomes suppressed, which has a dependence on the correlation length of the potential. We hope that our findings will facilitate a deeper understanding of the nonlinear waves interacting with disordered media.During the COVID-19 pandemic, many institutions have announced that their counterparties are struggling to fulfill contracts. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the counterparty default risk when pricing options. After the 2008 financial crisis, a variety of value adjustments have been emphasized in the financial industry. The total value adjustment (XVA) is the sum of multiple value adjustments, which is also investigated in many stochastic models, such as the Heston [B. Salvador and C. W. Oosterlee, Appl. Math. Comput. 391, 125489 (2020)] and Bates [L. Goudenège et al., Comput. Manag. Sci. 17, 163-178 (2020)] models. In this work, a widely used pure jump Lévy process, the Carr-Geman-Madan-Yor process has been considered for pricing a Bermudan option with various value adjustments. Under a pure jump Lévy process, the value of derivatives satisfies a fractional partial differential equation (FPDE). Therefore, we construct a method that combines Monte Carlo with a finite difference of FPDE to find the numerical approximation of exposure and compare it with the benchmark Monte Carlo simulation and Fourier-cosine series method. We use the discrete energy estimate method, which is different from the existing works, to derive the convergence of the numerical scheme. Based on the numerical results, the XVA is computed by the financial exposure of the derivative value.The threshold model has been widely adopted as a prototype for studying contagion processes on social networks. In this paper, we consider individual interactions in groups of three or more vertices and study the threshold model on hypergraphs. To understand how high-order interactions affect the breakdown of the system, we develop a theoretical framework based on generating function technology to derive the cascade condition and the giant component of vulnerable vertices, which depend on both hyperedges and hyperdegrees. First, we find a dual role of the hyperedge in propagation when the average hyperdegree is small, increasing the size of the hyperedges may make the system fragile, while the average hyperdegree is relatively large, the increase of the hyperedges causes the system to be robust. Then, we identify the effects of threshold, hyperdegree, and hyperedge heterogeneities. The heterogeneity of individual thresholds causes the system to be more fragile, while the heterogeneity of individual hyperdegrees or hyperedges increases the robustness of the system. FUDR Finally, we show that the higher hyperdegree a vertex has, the larger possibility and faster speed it will get activated. We verify these results by simulating meme spreading on both random hypergraph models and hypergraphs constructed from empirical data.The conventional local bifurcation theory (CBT) fails to present a complete characterization of the stability and general aspects of complex phenomena. After all, the CBT only explores the behavior of nonlinear dynamical systems in the neighborhood of their fixed points. Thus, this limitation imposes the necessity of non-trivial global techniques and lengthy numerical solutions. In this article, we present an attempt to overcome these problems by including the Fisher information theory in the study of bifurcations. Here, we investigate a Riemannian metrical structure of local and global bifurcations described in the context of dynamical systems. The introduced metric is based on the concept of information distance. We examine five contrasting models in detail saddle-node, transcritical, supercritical pitchfork, subcritical pitchfork, and homoclinic bifurcations. We found that the metric imposes a curvature scalar R on the parameter space. Also, we discovered that R diverges to infinity while approaching bifurcation points. We demonstrate that the local stability conditions are recovered from the interpretations of the curvature R, while global stability is inferred from the character of the Fisher metric. The results are a clear improvement over those of the conventional theory.In this paper, we introduce a class of novel PT- δ-hyperbolic-function potentials composed of the Dirac δ(x) and hyperbolic functions, supporting fully real energy spectra in the non-Hermitian Hamiltonian. The threshold curves of PT symmetry breaking are numerically presented. Moreover, in the self-focusing and defocusing Kerr-nonlinear media, the PT-symmetric potentials can also support the stable peakons, keeping the total power and quasi-power conserved. The unstable PT-symmetric peakons can be transformed into other stable peakons by the excitations of potential parameters. Continuous families of additional stable numerical peakons can be produced in internal modes around the exact peakons (even unstable). Further, we find that the stable peakons can always propagate in a robust form, remaining trapped in the slowly moving potential wells, which opens the way for manipulations of optical peakons. Other significant characteristics related to exact peakons, such as the interaction and power flow, are elucidated in detail. These results will be useful in explaining the related physical phenomena and designing the related physical experiments.This paper presents two data-driven model identification techniques for dynamical systems with fixed point attractors. Both strategies implement adaptive parameter update rules to limit truncation errors in the inferred dynamical models. The first strategy can be considered an extension of the dynamic mode decomposition with control (DMDc) algorithm. The second strategy uses a reduced order isostable coordinate basis that captures the behavior of the slowest decaying modes of the Koopman operator. The accuracy and robustness of both model identification algorithms is considered in a simple model with dynamics near a Hopf bifurcation. A more complicated model for nonlinear convective flow past an obstacle is also considered. In these examples, the proposed strategies outperform a collection of other commonly used data-driven model identification algorithms including Koopman model predictive control, Galerkin projection, and DMDc.In evolutionary dynamics, the population structure and multiplayer interactions significantly impact the evolution of cooperation levels. Previous works mainly focus on the theoretical analysis of multiplayer games on regular networks or pairwise games on complex networks. Combining these two factors, complex networks and multiplayer games, we obtain the fixation probability and fixation time of the evolutionary public goods game in a structured population represented by a signed network. We devise a stochastic framework for estimating fixation probability with weak mistrust or strong mistrust mechanisms and develop a deterministic replicator equation to predict the expected density of cooperators when the system evolves to the equilibrium on a signed network. Specifically, the most interesting result is that negative edges diversify the cooperation steady state, evolving in three different patterns of fixed probability in Erdös-Rényi signed and Watts-Strogatz signed networks with the new "strong mistrust" mechanism.Substances of abuse are known to activate and disrupt neuronal circuits in the brain reward system. We propose a simple and easily interpretable dynamical systems model to describe the neurobiology of drug addiction that incorporates the psychiatric concepts of reward prediction error, drug-induced incentive salience, and opponent process theory. Drug-induced dopamine releases activate a biphasic reward response with pleasurable, positive "a-processes" (euphoria, rush) followed by unpleasant, negative "b-processes" (cravings, withdrawal). Neuroadaptive processes triggered by successive intakes enhance the negative component of the reward response, which the user compensates for by increasing drug dose and/or intake frequency. This positive feedback between physiological changes and drug self-administration leads to habituation, tolerance, and, eventually, to full addiction. Our model gives rise to qualitatively different pathways to addiction that can represent a diverse set of user profiles (genetics, age) and drug potencies. We find that users who have, or neuroadaptively develop, a strong b-process response to drug consumption are most at risk for addiction. Finally, we include possible mechanisms to mitigate withdrawal symptoms, such as through the use of methadone or other auxiliary drugs used in detoxification.
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