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Increased utilization of electronic health records (EHR) has enriched databases for creating risk models. We used machine learning techniques to develop an EHR-based risk model locally fitted to patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) for predicting cardiovascular disease.
This retrospective observational study was conducted within Ochsner Health, Louisiana, USA, between 2013-2017. Data analysis included 6245 patients who had two outpatient diagnoses of T2DM recorded on separate days or a diagnosis recorded during an inpatient encounter. Baseline clinical data were limited to 180days before the index diagnosis. Cardiovascular outcomes were coronary heart disease (CHD), heart failure and stroke. Machine learning approaches were used to select predictor variables into Cox proportional hazards models for each outcome. Locally fit equations were compared to "generalized" risk equations (RECODe, AS-CVD, QRISK3) using model discrimination and calibration.
Among factors identified in the Ochsner (n = 11), RECODe (n = 14), AS-CVD (n = 15) and QRISK3 (n = 23), only age was common to all four risk equations. The Ochsner model had high internal discrimination for CHD (C-statistics 0.85) and better discrimination than RECODe (C-statistics 0.45), the QRISK3 (C-statistics 0.72) and AS-CVD (C-statistics 0.54).
The Ochsner model overestimated 5-year CHD risk, but had relatively higher calibration than the other models in CHD. Risk equations fitted for local populations improved cardiovascular risk stratification for patients with T2DM. Application of machine learning simplified the models compared to "generalized" risk equations.
The Ochsner model overestimated 5-year CHD risk, but had relatively higher calibration than the other models in CHD. Risk equations fitted for local populations improved cardiovascular risk stratification for patients with T2DM. Application of machine learning simplified the models compared to "generalized" risk equations.Return to play (RTP) criteria after hamstring strain injuries (HSIs) help clinicians in deciding whether an athlete is ready to safely resume previous sport activities. Today, functional and sport-specific training tests are the gold standard in the decision-making process. These criteria lead to an average RTP time between 11 and 25 days after a grade 1 or 2 HSI. However, the high re-injury rates indicate a possible inadequacy of the current RTP criteria. A possible explanation for this could be the neglect of biological healing time. The present review shows that studies indicating time as a possible factor within the RTP-decision are very scarce. However, studies on biological muscle healing showed immature scar tissue and incomplete muscle healing at the average moment of RTP. ALK assay Twenty-five percent of the re-injuries occur in the first week after RTP and at the exact same location as the index injury. This review supports the statement that functional recovery precedes the biological healing of the muscle. Based on basic science studies on biological muscle healing, we recommend a minimum period of 4 weeks before RTP after a grade 1 or 2 HSI. In conclusion, we advise a comprehensive RTP functional test battery with respect for the natural healing process. Before deciding RTP readiness, clinicians should reflect whether or not it is biologically possible for the injured tissue to have regained enough strength to withstand the sport-specific forces. In an attempt to reduce the detrimental injury-reinjury cycle, it is time to start considering (biological healing) time.
Perinatal growth abnormalities program susceptibility to childhood obesity, which is further exaggerated by maternal overweight and obesity (MO) during pregnancy. Exercise is highly accessible, but reports about the benefits of maternal exercise on fetal growth and childhood obesity outcomes are inconsistent, reducing the incentives for pregnant women to participate in exercise to improve children's perinatal growth.
This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to establish evidence-based efficacy of exercise in mothers with normal weight (MNW) and MO during pregnancy in reducing the risks of perinatal growth abnormalities and childhood obesity. In addition, the impacts of exercise volume are also assessed.
The PubMed, ScienceDirect, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases were searched from inception to February 15, 2020. We included randomized controlled trials with exercise-only intervention or exercise with other confounders in pregnant MNW (body mass index, BMI 18.5-24.9kg/m
) and MO (BMI meta-analysis suggests that exercise during pregnancy in both MNW and MO safely and effectively reduce the risks of preterm birth, SGA, and LGA. Furthermore, MNW exercise also reduces the risk of childhood obesity. Overall, regardless of prepregnancy BMI, maternal exercise during pregnancy provides an excellent opportunity to mitigate the high prevalence of adverse birth outcomes and childhood obesity.
Sport-related head and neck injuries, including concussion, are a growing global public health concern with a need to explore injury risk reduction strategies such as neck exercises.
To systematically review the literature to investigate (1) the relationship between neck strength and sport-related head and neck injuries (including sport-related concussion (SRC); and (2) whether neck exercise programs can reduce the incidence of (a) sport-related head and neck injuries; and (b) SRC.
Five databases (Ovid MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE, SPORTDiscus, and Web of Science) and research lists of included studies were searched using a combination of medical subject headings and keywords to locate original studies which reported the association between incidence of head and/or neck injury and neck strength data, or included a neck exercise intervention either in isolation or as part of a more comprehensive exercise program.
From an initial search of 593 studies, six were included in this review. A narrative synthesis was performed due to the heterogeneity of the included studies. The results of two observational studies reported that higher neck strength, but not deep neck flexor endurance, is associated with a lower risk of sustaining a SRC. Four intervention studies demonstrated that injury reduction programs that included neck exercises can reduce the incidence of sport-related head and neck injuries including SRC.
Consideration should be given towards incorporating neck exercises into injury reduction exercise programs to reduce the incidence of sport-related head and neck injuries, including SRC.
PROSPERO (registration number 194217).
PROSPERO (registration number 194217).
Homepage: https://www.selleckchem.com/ALK.html
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