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The first case of COVID-19 in South America occurred in Brazil on February 25, 2020. By July 20, 2020, there were 2,118,646 confirmed cases and 80,120 confirmed deaths. To assist with the development of preventive measures and targeted interventions to combat the pandemic in Brazil, we present a geographic study to detect "active" and "emerging" space-time clusters of COVID-19. We document the relationship between relative risk of COVID-19 and mortality, inequality, socioeconomic vulnerability variables. We used the prospective space-time scan statistic to detect daily COVID-19 clusters and examine the relative risk between February 25-June 7, 2020, and February 25-July 20, 2020, in 5570 Brazilian municipalities. We apply a Generalized Linear Model (GLM) to assess whether mortality rate, GINI index, and social inequality are predictors for the relative risk of each cluster. We detected 7 "active" clusters in the first time period, being one in the north, two in the northeast, two in the southeast, one in the south, and one in the capital of Brazil. In the second period, we found 9 clusters with RR > 1 located in all Brazilian regions. The results obtained through the GLM showed that there is a significant positive correlation between the predictor variables in relation to the relative risk of COVID-19. Given the presence of spatial autocorrelation in the GLM residuals, a spatial lag model was conducted that revealed that spatial effects, and both GINI index and mortality rate were strong predictors in the increase in COVID-19 relative risk in Brazil. Our research can be utilized to improve COVID-19 response and planning in all Brazilian states. The results from this study are particularly salient to public health, as they can guide targeted intervention measures, lowering the magnitude and spread of COVID-19. They can also improve resource allocation such as tests and vaccines (when available) by informing key public health officials about the highest risk areas of COVID-19.In this work, a simplified formulation of our recently developed generalized subsystem vibrational analysis (GSVA) for obtaining intrinsic fragmental vibrations (J Chem Theory Comput 142558, 2018) is presented. In contrast to the earlier implementation, which requires the explicit definition of a non-redundant set of internal coordinate parameters to be constructed for the subsystem, the new implementation circumvents this process by employing massless Eckart conditions to the subsystem fragment paired with a Gram-Schmidt orthogonalization to span the same internal vibration space indirectly. This revised version of GSVA (rev-GSVA) can be applied to equilibrium structure as well as transition state structure, and it has been incorporated into the open-source package UniMoVib (https//github.com/zorkzou/UniMoVib).
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00214-021-02727-y.
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00214-021-02727-y.Since the early 2000s, there has been a long-term price increase trend in the Istanbul housing market, and this situation also has led to price bubble speculations. Since the housing sector was caught with a high level of unsold housing stock to the economic slowdown emerging in the second half of 2018, housing price bubble speculations have increased even more, especially for the Istanbul market. In this period, housing loan interest reduction campaigns were implemented by the government through state banks to stimulate the housing demand, and a probable collapse in the housing market was prevented. On the other hand, house prices continued to rise during this period due to the stimulated demand. In this paper, we perform a price bubble research on the selected districts in the Istanbul housing market over the 2007-2019 period using LSTM autoencoder model. The first analysis on monthly data is performed by using housing price index, housing rent index, consumer prices index, stock market index, return on government debt securities, USD/TRY exchange rates, BIST price index, monthly deposit interest rates, mortgage interest rates and consumer confidence index, and the second analysis on quarterly data is carried out by adding building construction cost index and GDP data to the previous dataset. In the first analysis, the bubble formations differ regionally and periodically and disappeared toward the end of 2019 in some districts, while in the second analysis, the housing bubble formations have a more common and continuous appearance. Experimental results show that LSTM autoencoder model can be used to detect housing bubbles effectively.The World Health Organization (WHO) on December 31, 2019, was informed of several cases of respiratory diseases of unknown origin in the city of Wuhan in the Chinese Province of Hubei, the clinical manifestations of which were similar to those of viral pneumonia and manifested as fever, cough, and shortness of breath. And, the disease caused by the virus is named the new coronavirus disease 2019 and it will be abbreviated as 2019-nCoV and COVID-19. As of January 30, 2020, the WHO classified this epidemic as a global health emergency (Chung et al. in Radiology 295(1)202-207, 2020). It is an international real-life problem. Due to deaths, globally everyone is under fear. Now, it is the responsibility of researchers to give hope to the people. In this article, we aim to better protect people and general pandemic preparedness by predicting the lifetime of the disease-causing virus using three mathematical models. This article deals with a complex real-life problem people face all over the world, an international the literature.In many engineering problems, the systems dynamics are uncertain, and then, the accurate dynamic modeling is required. Type-2 fuzzy neural networks (T2F-NNs) are extensively used in system identification problems, because of their strong estimation capability. In this paper, the application of T2F-NNs is reviewed and classified. First, an introduction to the principles of system identification, including how to extract data from a system, persistency of excitation, preprocessing of information and data, removal of outlier data, and sorting of data to learn the T2F-NNs, is presented. Then, various learning methods for structure and parameters of the T2F-NNs are reviewed and analyzed. A number of different T2F-NNs that have been used to system identification are reviewed, and their disadvantages and advantages are described. Also, their efficiency in different applications is reviewed. Finally, we will look at the horizon ahead in this issue and analyze its challenges.In order to better accelerate the transition from traditional trade to cross-border e-commerce, a cross-border e-commerce transportation route optimization model was designed in the context of the prevention and control of new crown pneumonia. Against the background of the new coronavirus pneumonia, through the analysis and research of the current situation of domestic and foreign e-commerce logistics, optimize the cross-border e-commerce logistics distribution model, establish an environmental model, and use efficient search algorithms to search for walking paths that meet environmental requirements. Based on the Dijkstra algorithm model of demand, and based on the linear relationship between demand and delivery distance, an optimal route selection model is established to select the optimal route with the shortest total travel distance. The simulation results show that the cross-border e-commerce transportation time of this model is within 13 h, which is shorter than that of the traditional model. The search efficiency of the optimal route for cross-border e-commerce transportation is higher, and the time for cross-border e-commerce transportation is shorter.Some individuals experience the feeling that they have become a person they had not anticipated. The life path they had expected to take is not consonant with the one they are taking in reality. This perception of "off-course" in identity and self-direction is referred to as derailment. Although previous studies have postulated and demonstrated that derailment causes a low level of well-being, no studies have examined its existence and effect across cultures. We hypothesized that East Asians (Japanese) are less vulnerable to feeling derailed than North Americans (Canadians/Americans), and that those Japanese who feel derailed do not necessarily experience long-term damage to their well-being. Two correlational studies and one longitudinal study with a one-year interval supported these hypotheses and also demonstrated metric invariance of the Derailment Scale between countries. We discuss that these findings may be explained by East Asian's dialectical thinking, in which the perception of one's life direction is flexible.
The online version contains supplementary material available at (10.1007/s10902-021-00375-4).
The online version contains supplementary material available at (10.1007/s10902-021-00375-4).Intramolecular interactions within a protein are key in maintaining protein tertiary structure and understanding how proteins function. Ion mobility-mass spectrometry (IM-MS) has become a widely used approach in structural biology since it provides rapid measurements of collision cross sections (CCS), which inform on the gas-phase conformation of the biomolecule under study. Gas-phase ion/ion reactions target amino acid residues with specific chemical properties and the modified sites can be identified by MS. In this study, electrostatically reactive, gas-phase ion/ion chemistry and IM-MS are combined to characterize the structural changes between ubiquitin electrosprayed from aqueous and denaturing conditions. The electrostatic attachment of sulfo-NHS acetate to ubiquitin via ion/ion reactions and fragmentation by electron-capture dissociation (ECD) provide the identification of the most accessible protonated sites within ubiquitin as the sulfonate group forms an electrostatic complex with accessible protonated side chains. The protonated sites identified by ECD from the different solution conditions are distinct and, in some cases, reflect the disruption of interactions such as salt bridges that maintain the native protein structure. This agrees with previously published literature demonstrating that a high methanol concentration at low pH causes the structure of ubiquitin to change from a native (N) state to a more elongated A state. Results using gas-phase, electrostatic cross-linking reagents also point to similar structural changes and further confirm the role of methanol and acid in favoring a more unfolded conformation. Since cross-linking reagents have a distance constraint for the two reactive sites, the data is valuable in guiding computational structures generated by molecular dynamics. The research presented here describes a promising strategy that can detect subtle changes in the local environment of targeted amino acid residues to inform on changes in the overall protein structure.Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are widely used over-the-counter drugs and their uncontrolled disposal is a significant environmental concern. Although their fluorescent sensing is a desirable method of detection for its sensitivity and simplicity, the structural similarity of the drugs makes the design of selective sensors highly challenging. learn more A thiourea-based fluorescent functional monomer was identified in this work to enable highly efficient synthesis of molecularly imprinted nanoparticle (MINP) sensors for NSAIDs such as Indomethacin or Tolmetin. Micromolar binding affinities were obtained in aqueous solution, with binding selectivities comparable to those reported for polyclonal antibodies. The detection limit was ~50 ng/mL in aqueous solution, and common carboxylic acids such as acetic acid, benzoic acid, and citric acid showed negligible interference.
Homepage: https://www.selleckchem.com/products/pfk15.html
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