Notes

The Art Of Outright Tennis Betting_ Lesson 5 - The Surface
One of the great advantages of tennis, in terms of betting as much as viewing, is the use of different surfaces at different ATP Tour events.


In general, 65 events are divided between clay, clay, and hard courts. The majority (37) are played on the faster, harder surfaces with clay (21) the next most widely used and the grass court season (6) now limited to a handful of events in June/July.


This often highlights differences in skill, performance, and sometimes mismatches between the players. If a natural clay-courter is playing on slow dirt surfaces against an opponent, then we know who will win. But, if you put the same players on a faster, bumpier surface, it's the hard-court performer who wins.


Such situations we can easily exploit in match betting situations but we can also utiliset this phenomenon when we consider outright tournament betting.


Bookmakers will often give undue credits to players who are highly ranked, recent tour winners, or players in good condition. The point is, that doesn't always take into consideration the surface which is being used ... so you're in great form on clay but we're playing on grass this week!


These situations can be identified by savvy tennis traders. They will be able to identify players who aren’t suitable for the surface and locate those who can be expected significantly to improve their performance (due to the type of court being used).


http://samgranger.com/the-aim-of-blackjack/ Example: Lleyton Hewitt (Halle 2010) WON 14/1


Hewitt's career record (537:188) shows a 74% winning ratio on all surfaces. However, concentrate purely on grass and his 98:23 record actually shows the Aussie winning 81% of his matches. This was Hewitt's most preferred surface for the Gerry Weber German event. He had also participated in six grass court tournament finals before this event... and won all six. He was in moderate form going into the grass court season. http://precop25costarica.com/how-to-have-fun-with-playing-free-bingo/ A return to the "green stuff" saw him win a 7th title at a highly inflated price.


http://salems13ghosts.com/blackjack-trainer-says-tie-is-better-than-busting-hood-or-busting-diamonds/ Remember, therefore, to give due credit to a player's form on the surface being used and not to the success they may have enjoyed on another type of court. While players may be able to transfer their form to one another, there will always be significant differences between top players, and so you can exploit them.
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