Notes

I Don't Want To Spend This Much Time On Bet. How About You?

Please note that in the first spin I actually make an error and mean to bet 14 and 9 but in error, I wrote 14 and 19. Number14 wins and so it’s no problem, other than pointing out that it would have been another double winner! It’s probably a good bet that more that just 20 Saudi tanks have been damaged. Skulker; this feat increases your ability to hide and land attacks with advantage, this is particularly good for rogue who relies on stealth more than other builds. ’. The Bundesbank president, a member of the governing council of the European Central Bank who has called for Greek banks’ €89bn liquidity lifeline to be scrapped, said it needed to be ‘crystal clear’ that responsibility for Greece lay with Athens and international creditors, and not the ECB. And it will have the advantage of keeping the bloggers who cared the most about the content of their blogs and who chose to retain the risk of their own future success. So if you have a series of Bubbles with six or seven year lives, you’re discussing an overall Bubble span of a couple decades (or more).

‘I am about to repeat what I said at this time last year and the year before.’ Even a stopped clock is right twice a day… And, in the end, the Bubble prognosis should be recognized as right or wrong - not at a point in time but with regard to the overall cycle. And the weaker the dollar - the more required buying and “recycling” of surfeit global dollar balances right back into the Treasury market. Babson had been predicting a decline in stock valuations since the market took off in 1927. He was the first to acknowledge that his pessimism was hardly news. First of all, the “Periphery of the Periphery” is an unfolding unmitigated disaster: With EM generally encompassing the global “Periphery,” the likes of Venezuela, Ukraine, and Argentina demonstrate accelerated deterioration. In general, “Periphery to Core” analysis holds that financial crises originate at the “Periphery,” home to the riskiest and most vulnerable borrowers. “Periphery to Core” analysis turned much more complex and nuanced throughout this prolonged global government finance Bubble period. I have posited my case for the “Granddaddy of All Bubbles.” I believe the current “global government finance Bubble” is the finale of a historic multi-decade Bubble period.

Black men have left, and how dare I stab at the one thing that’s helped. Strangely, Eichengreen simplifies the revisionist view to about one sentence where he claims that responsibility for the crash and Depression rests with adherents to an ill-advised “real bills doctrine.” Why an economic historian would chose to so readily dismiss such rich and pertinent debate regarding Credit dynamics and repercussions; financial flows, market speculation and Bubbles; and monetary management, is beyond me. I think HuffPo is conceding that the color was heightened, and the "No" in the headline relates only to the inference about why it was heightened. I found it helpful to further delineate sector dynamics - to incorporate “Periphery of the Periphery” and the “Core of the Periphery.” Similarly, there is the “Periphery of the Core” and the “Core of the Core.” Over recent months, heightened stress had made it to the “Periphery of the Core” (Greece, commodity-related stocks and high-yield debt, in particular). The crisis broke through to the “Core of the Core.” I would expect crisis dynamics to now speed up. So it appears “Core of the Periphery” dynamics have reached the point where crisis dynamics shift from “slow-mo” to high-speed. More importantly, conditions at the “Core of the Periphery” - the likes of Brazil, Mexico, Russia, Malaysia, etc. - now suffer rapid “vicious cycle” deterioration.

Analytically, China occupies an integral spot in both the “Core of the Periphery” and the “Periphery of the Core.” look at this site China’s unfolding financial and economic crisis will either directly or indirectly impact virtually all global markets and economies. Yet the “Core of the Core” had remained immune to global forces - that is until this week. And each week I see important confirmation to the thesis that this global Bubble has been pierced. This was a key week from the perspective of my analytical framework. I see the ongoing energy and commodities collapse supporting the view of the end of the historic Chinese Bubble period. Dividends and buybacks will be responsible for supporting a market where the median stock in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is trading at 18.2 times earnings, putting it in the 99th percentile of historical valuation… Over the past year, things at times seem to be playing out in super slow-mo in HD. Keepsakes? Christine Deaton is on today’s front page announcing that her family is taking over the Paramount Theater in old town Casa Grande. The Bubble Issue should be front and center for analysis and debate. First of all, you and your analysis will be discredited, and the bigger the Bubble the more complete and utter the disparagement.

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