Notes

Asia wood pellet market evaluation and prediction<br>
In Asia, Japan and also Korean are significant wood pellet importers, while China, Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia as well as Malaysia are generally wood pellets merchants. As the wood pellet market in Europe is anticipated to level off, Asia will certainly be one more drive engine in the biomass pellet sector.




Japan

Stimulate policies

Japan has prepared a collection of boost procedures to promote renewable energy manufacturing as well as biomass power generation, such as the Basic Regulation of promoting biomass power application in 2009 as well as state planning to advertise biomass energy application.



One of the most significant policy is Fixed-price Support for Renewable Energy (FIT) carried out considering that July 2012. According to this plan, Electric power firms are obliged to have certain portion of biomass energy power generation, like solar photovoltaics as well as biomass power at set price and duration. Since then, the wood pellets consumption grows up quickly in Japan.



After the Fukushima nuclear crash in 2010, the power generation profile become more varied. Japan ministry of economic climate, trade and also industry (METI) re-exam the purchase price of FIT yearly, so the renewable resource price is unsteady for power generation business.



Manufacturing, intake and cost

According to the information of FAOSTAT in 2016, the residential wood pellets manufacturing is 90,000 loads in the past 5 years. But Japan require to import more wood pellets due to the big consumption. In 2015, it import 230,000 loads from Canada, China as well as Vietnam. Provided the residential production and also import volume, Japan's wood pellets consumption is 320,000 loads in 2015.




Japan typically import top quality wood pellets as well as export low-quality pellets. The import rate is 178 Euro/ton, while the export price is 129 Euro/ton.



The prepared biomass nuclear power plant

Because the implement of FIT in 2011, there have actually been more than 100 biomass nuclear power plant building tasks, and also 84 of them have been authorized.



The government aims to enhance the percentage of renewable energy by 2030, with solar power using up 15%, and biomass and also hydropower 10%. Besides, the federal government plan to build a biomass energy zone to develop a thorough biomass energy use system.



Oji Eco-friendly Resources as well as Mitsubishi Paper Mills additionally constructed a joint venture enterprise to construct a 75MW biomass power plant in Aomori. It is anticipated to start manufacturing in 2019.



Future biomass pellets demand

FIP plan will remain to advertise the biomass power application in Japan. According to the prediction of Strauss, Japan will certainly need 15 million tons of biomass pellets in the mid-2020s.



Korean

Renewable resource policy

Renewable Profile Standard (RPS) plays a crucial duty is Korean's wood pellet market because 2012. It requires the power generation company to increase the percentage of renewable resource from 2% to 10%.



Biomass power is anticipate to take up 50% -60% of sustainable power, among wind, solar, as well as water powers. With buhler pellet mill of RPS, the demand and import of wood pellets in Oriental boost swiftly.



RPS can lower the power generation expense by affordable innovation infiltration as well as raise renewable energy supply. But the power plant owners need to increase their administration cost.



Production as well as demand

According to the data of FAOSTAT, The wood pellet production in Oriental is 15,000 t, which can not fulfill residential demand As reported by Bloomberg New Energy Money, Korean's wood pellet need is 2.2 million loads in 2014, around 40% of England's. The wood pellet import in Korean has increase from 122,000 t in 2012 to 1850,000 t in 2014. 70% of them originates from Vietnam, as well as others from Malaysia, Canada, America, Russia, Indonesia, as well as Australia.



Future demand.

As reported by Energy Information Management (EIA), Korean's demand for wood pellets maintain increasing, driven by the RPS policy. Korean government has established a goal to import 5 million lots of wood pellets by 2020 to fulfill 75% of domestic need. They will be generally imported from Canada, Southeast Asia and America.



China

Renewable resource plan

China's renewable energy market matures quickly in recent years. In 2013, China's National Energy management published an instruction on building a renewable energy profile criterion. cpm pellet mill manual requires renewable resource needs to take up 15% of total power intake by 2020, as well as 20% in 2030. According to this guideline, the power generation company must make use of specific section of renewable resource. However the guidance and also fine system is not complete.



Manufacturing, export as well as intake

China has plentiful resource of biomass, consisting of plant waste, branch, pet waste, natural drainage, city rubbish. According to the data of National Energy Administration, the forestry waste is 900 million tons annually, with 1/3 of them can be used as fuel.



In the past couple of years, China's wood pellet production rise swiftly. It exported 287,000 tons of wood pellets to Korean in 2014. Yet in 2015, the export decreases swiftly in the face of Vietnam's low-price competition, however the expanding Japan market produces new possibilities.



Owing to the except wood material supply as well as the increasing production expense, China's wood pellet price boosts to 105 Euro/ton. So it is not as affordable as in the past.



China's wood pellet usage is primarily in the eastern and also Guangdong district, where coal boilers are prohibited and the wood pellet price is reduced.



Vietnam

Vietnam has several large-scale furniture manufacturers. So there are plentiful wood wastes to make wood pellets, and the expense is the most affordable in Asia. As well as the huge wood pellet plant in Asia can advertise the economic climate of scale.



Vietnam is a major wood pellet merchant in Asia. It occupies 70% of Oriental wood pellet market, and offers competitive price as reduced as 90 Euro/ton to Oriental and also Japan market. Besides, the transportation cost from Vietnam to Korean is fairly low.



However, Oriental is most likely to raise the wood pellet import criterion, or reveal the prospective buyers ahead of time. These plans will certainly impede Vietnam's trade with Oriental. On the other hand, Japan will certainly draw up similar policies to hinder Vietnam suppliers from entering into Japan market.



Malaysia, Indonesia and also Thailand

Compared to Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand are all little wood pellets producers and also merchants. In 2015, Indonesia and also Malaysia respectively exported 150,000 lots as well as 60,000 lots of wood pellets to Korean. They likewise export small amount of Palm kernel coverings (PKS) to Japan. Under the influence of supplement, quality as well as quantity, the buying rate is high.


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