Notes

Four Suggestions That may Make You Influential In Bet
But if I see that the last 4 spins resulted in Even numbers, then I would switch my bet to Odd instead of Black. December 30 - Bloomberg (Emma Charlton): “Switzerland’s franc jumped to a record against the euro and the dollar as investors bet its economy is set to outperform the euro zone and U.S. December 27 - Bloomberg (Toru Fujioka): “A Bank of Japan board member said there’s uncertainty about the U.S. December 28 - Bloomberg (Toru Fujioka and Keiko Ujikane): “Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda renewed his warning to take “bold” action against the yen’s advance if needed, a sign of concern among policy makers about the currency’s climb slowing the recovery. December 27 - Bloomberg (Joel Guinto): “The Philippine economy grew around 6.5% in the fourth quarter, driven by consumption, Economic Planning Secretary Cayetano Paderanga told reporters… Gross domestic product grew 7.34% in the three months through December from a year earlier… The three commodities, the most important for the day-to-day working of economies around the world, could derail the recovery next year. Working with Nader, which Kerry seems to want or need to do, is going to be a bit tricky. The Times needs to appeal to younger readers, and that means the regular slots on the op-ed page when they open up are going to go to people like Vowell, and not to older writers who've built their reputations by following the established conventions of column writing.

Deductibles… rose almost five times faster, the fund said. December 28 - Bond Buyer (Caitlin Devitt): “Detroit has filed its annual audit on time for the first time in five years. December 29 - Bloomberg (Katya Kazakina and Scott Reyburn): “The value of the world’s most expensive items sold at auction more than doubled in 2010 as the top end of the market bounced back from the financial crisis. The chip value is determined at the time of purchase. Casino focus on choosing the right performance measure, determining how performance thresholds, targets, or benchmarks are set, and defining the pay-performance relation and how the relation changes over time. The three are critical for the world - both in economic and political terms. The Metropolitan Transportation Authority fare hike for riding the city's subways, buses and commuter rails is increasing for the third time in three years. December 30 - Associated Press: “New York commuters are facing a double-whammy: a blizzard that paralyzed the transit system and fare increases that have left some riders fuming. And we’re not witnessing some “new normal” at work, but rather “The Latest Abnormal” in a prolonged cycle of policy-induced boom and bust dynamics.

The return of Bubble Dynamics was the overriding thesis coming into 2010. The extraordinary global fiscal and monetary response to the 2008 bursting of the mortgage/Wall Street finance Bubble had unleashed the “global government finance Bubble.” This Bubble analysis implied bi-polar outcome possibilities: the Bubble would gain further momentum - or it would burst. It is the nature of Bubbles that, if accommodated by loose finance, they expand, broaden and gain increasing momentum. ‘more dire’ than inflation and that government measures to curb the nation’s property market weren’t well implemented. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values fell 0.8% from October 2009, the biggest year-over-year decline since December 2009… Indeed, contracting household mortgage debt and stagnant corporate borrowings were leading to a highly unusual decline in private-sector Credit. Financial conditions were abnormally loose and mortgage rates unusually low, seemingly implying a strong recovery for our nation’s battered housing markets. The most popular bearish view focused on ongoing mortgage troubles and “deleveraging.” Some of the more vocal bears spoke of persistent Credit contraction.


‘Asian destinations are more aggressive buyers of U.S. In the latest sign of growing nervousness about the scale of financial inflows from the west, Indonesia announced more than 20 technical measures designed to minimise inflationary pressures and the risk of a sudden reversal of fund flows. Excavate up all the plants and bushes growing too close to your piping. December 30 - Bloomberg (Tushar Dhara): “India’s Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee raised his inflation forecast for the current year after an index of food prices surged to a 10-week high. 6% prediction he made on Dec. 14. Food inflation rose 14.44% in the week to Dec. 18 from a year earlier… December 27 - Bloomberg: “Chinese industrial companies’ profits rose 49.4% in the 11 months through November from a year earlier, putting pressure on the central bank to add to this year’s two interest-rate increases. December 27 - Bloomberg: “China continues to face an ‘arduous task’ in managing credit and liquidity next year, while containing financial risks, the central bank said today…


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