Notes

blanchfield vs aldrich - blanchfield standup is good volume and aggression, but she has massive upside in grappling, magic is forcing a play of blanchfield to finish very small and small round 3, aldrich is good but nothing special, she's great at not getting finished i think, aldrich is +400 so I'd say $5 on her ML and then avoid everything else, she might win by decision but the most likely outcome is that she gets held down and blanchfield puts on a takedown clinic and wins 30-27, but i think small underdog shot on aldrich at +400 or more could be worth it, blanchfield will get a lot of top time, dont be surprised if we lose, b

michaelidis vs fakhretdinov - rinat line is pretty steep but think he covers it, doesnt go the distance for a small parlay with one other because michalidis gets finished whenever he loses, or does the finishing, rinat strong round 1, michaelidis has been knocked out, 11 finishes in 13 wins, if he doesnt win he gets finished by tko, rinat fakh is strong in round 1, i'd probably do rinat fakhretdinov to finish small to medium, but FDGTD could be strong, rinat will probably cover his pricetag, michaelidis bad cardio, i guess small rinat to finish and fdgtd very small

molina vs zhumaglov - andrew likes zhumagulov at this big of a dog odds, molina is good but he's not amazing, he thinks zhalgas is probably the side at dog odds, molina is good but not sure he covers the price, has ok power, not the best defense, he can be grappled offensively, zhumaglov is the better bet, while molina might win, but im hearing zhumagulov is the side i guess, i like molina but dont have good reasoning for it, chris says molina wins but zhalgas is the better bet, you choose on this one, might to zhalgas at over +170, again NOT a big play, i'd do $5 on zhalgas at +160 or higher i guess, or if you want molina go for it, split so i dont really favor either one here, maybe molina cause he's on the comeup but -200 is a big price to pay

gravely vs munoz jr. - lots of people are all over muhoz jr, chris doubles up on munhoz jr, munhoz has good grappling, gravely is decent but not the best fight iq, dont really feel safe with gravely at anytime, he is do or die in a lot of exchanges, chrisis doubled up on munoz jr, i guess munoz it is but gravely is pretty good and good cardio sometimes i wouldnt doubt him too much, gravely tends to lose by submission, i guess it munoz jr even though i am not confident, Munoz Jr. ML prop would be forcing it i guess munoz jr submission, andrew and magic like gravely but i dont trust him at all, munoz JR ML or submission if you want to force a prop

benoit saint denis vs stolze - saint denis i think is going to win even though he is taking horrible horrible beating in his last fight but it's been a while, stolze has wins against bad competition and questionable losses, saint denis grapples like a mofo, and they are both going down in weight and stolze got finished bad last time, i dont think his chin is correct i think stolze is super suspect, i like benoit saint denis quite a bit, he is tough as fuck, a bit bigger, better grappler, Saint Denis ML, probably wins by submission or finish or something, but I think Benoit Saint Denis ML is pretty decent, both i dont think are amazing but i think Saint Denis ML but you HAVE to put $1.50 on Stolze cuz saint denis took the beating of a lifetime a year ago could randomly die

damon jackson vs dan argueta - coming from LFA moving up a weight class, jackson bigger better grappler better striker but randomly has been shut off, but that doesn't mattter i think damon jackson is bigger, great grappling cardio, great submission cardio, argueta isn't bad at all but this is a really tough as on debut, might get takedowns early, think jackson will probably sub him early, jackson by submission is the prop or just to finish, maybe doesn't go if you dont trust jackson at his odds to finish right now, but i think Damon Jackson will win by finish, most likely by sub but could pound out, dont go huge but it should be a decent spot

Joe Solecki vs Alex da Silva - solid grappler with good grappling off of his back, solecki probably better grappling, da silva is young but they disagree on this pick, Andrew likes Solecki, magic likes da Silva, he's young and a good prospect, solecki is a very strong grappler and should be the favorite IMO, this is the last fight that chris taped and looked into, and he is split, most likely to win Solecki, better bet on da Silva at +145ML, Magic likes da silva very good prospect, his cardio not the best but he went the distance with brad riddell who is top 15 and a beast, Alex da Silva ML i guess cause he's an underdog, solecki has very very good jiu jitsu, he has power jiu jitsu, I think we have to go Solecki ML and submission choose solecki round 2 or 1,

Ode Osbourne vs Adashev - Adashev isnt very good and osbourne is way bigger he's not insanely skilled but he has power, not the most skilled, ode has better ground game, faster down the pipe, reach, pretty reliable to win the fight, i think Ode Osbourne ML, ode osbourne is an under machine, maybe FDGTD if you force a prop, so I think Ode Osbourne ML even though chris is split

Felice Herrig vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz - both are horrible and should be cut from the promotion, yes it's a mess, karolina probably shouldn't be the underdog, chris is doubled up on Karolina, so I'll do Karolina ML at dog odds, she has bad grappling and felice herrig has grappling edge, dont like this on either side but I guess Kowalkiewicz ML or herrig to finish if you dont want to bet ML, karolina is super done but fuck i dont like this fight at all lol, whoever you listen to just choose this one is gonna be stupid, i guess karolina ML but i know i'll regret it

Menifield vs Mohzarov - menifield should definitely win if he shoots alonzo should destroy him immediately, classic quiter rear naked choke maybe, mozharov been finished 12 times he is a fraud, menifield ITD, menifield ML, under 1.5 is strong, lets go alonzo this russian guy is a mjor fraud, menifield should run in there take him down get rear naked easy lets go menifield

Poliana Botelho vs Karine Silva - botelho has ==fought better fighters but karine silva is strong as hell in the first round, strong 7-8 minutes of cardio with a bit submission upside, chris is doubled up on karine silva, I like Silva ML or Silva by submission, lets go

Mike Trizano vs Lucas Almeida - trizano definitely the upside, more experienced, almedia has suspect cardio, trizano ML definitely has the grappling upside, almedia round 1 or bust, trizano has grappling upside better cardio almedia is gonna com eout swinging for the fences, trizano by submission is a great prop, almedia can get grappled, almedia round 1, bigger man and stronger, Trizano ML and Trizano by sub, round 3, with a $1 hedge on almedia, trizano gonna put him through the grappling grinder

Dan Ige vs Movsar Evloev - evloev never lost and he is a russian decisionator he's a good fighter but at these odds i could only back Evloev by decision, or Dan Ige at ML for $5, evloev round 3 or by decision is most likely, or if you have to force it and need money i guess ige, but Evloev is definitely more likely to win and grind him out. Ige by KO at +1000 is a decent prop.

Alexander Volkov vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik - this one is insanely hard to cap, volkov way bigger but neither podcast like to bet either side, probably going to be low volume, Vlkov likely to win the decision or win in general, he could get bonked by rozenstruiks stupid power, but not confident any side I guess Volkov ML, and maybe $1 on rozenstruik round 4 or 5 i guess, dont like to bet this fight

random lambo parlay - damon jackson to finish, menifield to finish, evloev dec

lambo andrew - under 1.5 michaelidis fight , zhalgas ML, alonzo under 1.5, trizano mL, jackson ML, over 3.5 main event, blanchfield ML

lambo magic -