Notes

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Progressive roulette strategies are based on increasing the size of your bet after each round. I bet the crew will be happy when they get the palm trees finished. Once you accumulate enough Commendations, you'll earn a special achievement which will enable you to get a reward. The Duty Roulette offers a daily reward that give the players a combination of experience, Grand Company Seals, Cracked Anthoclusters, Cracked Dendroclusters, and Gil, depending on the type of duty, your job depending on what is currently needed, and the level of job when entering the queue. You must redeem roulette chips at the Roulette table before you leave. Here at home, the S&P 500 Media Index traded at 640 on Wednesday, sank to a low of 565 on Thursday before ending the week down 7.4% at 587.26. Core stock holdings such as Disney, Viacom, Time Warner and CBS were taken out to the woodshed. Typically, stress at the “Periphery” begins a process that begins to weigh on the “Core.” But in this phase of unprecedented central bank monetary inflation (“money printing”), trouble at the Periphery has elicited aggressive policy responses that have tended only to stoke Bubble excess at the Core. 에볼루션게이밍

China’s reflationary measures over the past year (in particular) worked primarily to spur precarious speculative excess in Chinese stocks, in the process stoking optimism that Chinese reflationary measures would work to reflate commodities and “Periphery” economies. Analytically, China occupies an integral spot in both the “Core of the Periphery” and the “Periphery of the Core.” China’s unfolding financial and economic crisis will either directly or indirectly impact virtually all global markets and economies. First of all, the “Periphery of the Periphery” is an unfolding unmitigated disaster: With EM generally encompassing the global “Periphery,” the likes of Venezuela, Ukraine, and Argentina demonstrate accelerated deterioration. More importantly, conditions at the “Core of the Periphery” - the likes of Brazil, Mexico, Russia, Malaysia, etc. - now suffer rapid “vicious cycle” deterioration. Yet the “Core of the Core” had remained immune to global forces - that is until this week. In general, “Periphery to Core” analysis holds that financial crises originate at the “Periphery,” home to the riskiest and most vulnerable borrowers. In general, backdrops conducive to crisis can linger for so long that fears naturally fade as optimism and complacency take full control.

So it appears “Core of the Periphery” dynamics have reached the point where crisis dynamics shift from “slow-mo” to high-speed. The crisis broke through to the “Core of the Core.” I would expect crisis dynamics to now speed up. I found it helpful to further delineate sector dynamics - to incorporate “Periphery of the Periphery” and the “Core of the Periphery.” Similarly, there is the “Periphery of the Core” and the “Core of the Core.” Over recent months, heightened stress had made it to the “Periphery of the Core” (Greece, commodity-related stocks and high-yield debt, in particular). Media stocks reside importantly at the “Core of the Core.” Though not generally recognized, today’s media industry is extraordinarily Credit sensitive. When the Fed slashed rates and began aggressively printing “money” after the mortgage finance Bubble collapse, corporate Credit conditions loosened profoundly. And, importantly, post-bust policymaker measures can reflate Bubble Dynamics, leading to serial Bubbles (i.e. “tech” to mortgage finance to global government finance). And with managements hesitant to move forward with long-term capital investment, the much easier course was to borrow and boost advertising (and, of course, repurchase shares). And, in the end, the Bubble prognosis should be recognized as right or wrong - not at a point in time but with regard to the overall cycle.

In the end, China’s misguided policies only worsened Bubble Fragilities, in China, throughout the “Periphery” and elsewhere. The risks that arise with China’s extraordinary response to collapsing stock prices only compounds mounting global uncertainties. The bursting of China’s equities Bubble marks a momentous global Bubble inflection point. After a hiatus, Bursting Bubble Dynamics have reemerged with a vengeance. And each week I see important confirmation to the thesis that this global Bubble has been pierced. Right now you can only see the dratted Feud one (1) time on GSN between 8:00 AM and 6:00 PM on weekdays, thanks to the cutbacks I mentioned. I see the ongoing energy and commodities collapse supporting the view of the end of the historic Chinese Bubble period. In this regard, this period has been extraordinary. “Periphery to Core” analysis turned much more complex and nuanced throughout this prolonged global government finance Bubble period. I have posited my case for the “Granddaddy of All Bubbles.” I believe the current “global government finance Bubble” is the finale of a historic multi-decade Bubble period.

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