Notes

Basic BlackJack Strategy
Contrary to what some gamblers think blackjack isn't simply an improbable game. Most casinos are games that involve guessing. However, with every blackjack hand there's a proper strategy and an incorrect strategy. The basic strategy is the best strategy. best games to play is the one that is mathematically optimal, that is, it will maximize your winnings while minimizing your losses on each hand over time.

It is possible that you have noticed that many other well-known card games do not have any basic strategy. For instance, there is there is no fundamental game plan for poker. Poker players play their hands according to whether they think his opponent holds a strong or weak hand.

There is trends for any card game so long as your opponent has the ability to make decisions, regardless of whether those decisions are right or wrong regarding how to play his hands. There was no blackjack strategy for thousands of years. Blackjack was not a game played in casinos in which the dealer was obliged to display only one card and then play according to the house rules. It was more of a poker game, with both the dealer as well as the player's card hidden. The dealer was able to play as he wanted and players were able to try to bluff him.

When the American casinos changed the rules of twenty-one in order to reveal one of the dealer's cards , and demand that the dealer follow a strict hit/stand strategy, an important thing happened. The game changed from being a poker-style game that was based more on psychology , to one that was entirely mathematical.

Why Basic Strategy works ... The "Odds"

It is assumed that dealers today use fair games to meet our needs. No sleight-of-hand, no chicanery. Although we will not ignore the First Rule of Professional Gamblers we'll take a break from it in order to deal with the logic of every game and discover the fundamental strategy that eliminates the majority of the house's mathematical edge. The majority of games played in casinos are fair and fair. If you come across an unfavorable game, it's not on your level, you shouldn't attempt to beat it.

To play the honest game computer scientists have analysed every possible hand you can hold against any possible dealer upcard in order to devise the correct basic strategy for playing the game. One thing that may have stunned the first mathematicians to do these computer analyses was that a nearly perfect basic strategy had already been worked out and published by four GIs with desk jobs and a lot of time to spare during the 1950s. They had no computers, but they'd spent three years using old-fashioned mechanical adders to go through the various possible outcomes of the hands they dealt. It was possibly the most price Uncle Sam ever obtained from the four GIs' pay!

Also, we are aware that many professional gamblers from Nevada were adept at figuring out basic strategies before computers became popular. These gamblers devised the strategy by dealing hands to themselves on their kitchen tables. Certain decisions involved thousands, tens or thousands, and even hundreds of thousands of hands. As with most professional gamblers these gamblers never released their strategies. Blackjack was their main source of income and they'd spent hundreds of hours researching it. Why would they tell anyone else what they'd learned?


One thing we can be certain of is that the casinos were not aware of the proper strategy for the game, nor did players who read the most highly-regarded books on the matter. The Hoyle's guidebooks of the past advised that players stick their totals to 15 and 16, regardless of what the dealer's card was splitting tens and never to split nines, as well as to hold on to a soft 17. The "smart" players of the day, i.e. people who had read one of the books on gambling by one of these reputable authorities generally made all sorts of bets that we understand today to be very costly.

Many people don't get the logic behind basic strategy. Let me give an example. Blackjack strategy tells me to hit when my hand totals 14 and the dealer shows me a 10-upcard. This is the mathematically correct way to play. Sometimes you will hit that 14 and draw an 8 10, 9, or and then bust. The dealer will then flip over his hole card, a 6 and you'll realize that if you would have been standing on your 14 the dealer would have to reach his total of 16 and could have busted with 10. You have lost a hand making the mathematically correct decision.

Some players might argue that there's no fundamental strategy that is accurate. Blackjack is, according to them it's a game of playing guesswork.

The basic strategy of understanding requires to consider yourself a professional. This means you need to be able to grasp the notion of "the Blackjack odds".

Let me take another example to demonstrate the mathematics of probabilities and statistics the basic logic behind strategies. Let's suppose I own a jar with 100 marbles. 50 of them are white while the other fifty are black. You have to reach into a blindfolded and pick out one marble. However, before you do so, you must place a $ 1 bet on the marble you take out will be white or black. If you get the color you picked, you win $ 1 If not, you lose $ 1.

Are you guessing?

Absolutely. How do you know the color of marble you're likely to pick out ahead of time? It's a good thing when you win. If you lose, it's poor luck.

What if you knew 90 percent of the marbles on this list are black while 10% are white? Would you rather bet on black or white prior to you draw? If you were a smart person, you would select the black. There is a chance, of course, to find the white marble, however, you're much less likely to find one that is white as opposed to one that is black. It's a guessing game and you can still lose $1 in the event that a white marble gets pulled out. However, if your bet is on black, odds are in favor of you.

Professional gamblers earn their living by always thinking about "the odds" and only placing bets when odds are in his favor. In this case, the gambler would bet on black because odds are 9-to-1 in his favor. There are 9:1 chance of losing money if you choose white.

There is a chance that you will lose if the dealer shows the upcard 10. However, the odds are not in your favor when the dealer displays 10.

It's possible to win a few hands if you play your gut instincts however, you'll be losing more in the end. Math is the only method to make an informed decision about any play. Probability laws determine what your expectations are for every possibility.



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