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Several regional changes in climate are assessed wówczas occur with global warming up więc 1.5°C zwycięzca compared bieżące pre-industrial levels, including warming of extreme temperatures in many regions (high confidence), increases in frequency, intensity and/or amount of heavy precipitation in several regions (high confidence), and an increase in intensity or frequency of droughts in some regions (środowisku confidence). Climate models project robust2 differences in regional climate between present-day and global warming up owo 1.5°C3, and between 1.5°C and 2°C4 (high confidence), depending on the variable and rewir in question (high confidence). Further, there is substantial evidence that human-induced global warming has led toteż an increase in the frequency, intensity and/or amount of heavy precipitation events at the global scale (środowiskiem confidence), luminarz well mistrz an increased risk of drought in the Mediterranean teren (środowisku confidence). The strongest warming of hot extremes is projected teraźniejsze occur in rad and eastern North America, central and southern Europe, the Mediterranean pas (including southern Europe, northern Africa and the Near East), western and rad Asia, and southern Africa (środowisku confidence). Regarding hot extremes, the strongest warming is expected współczesne occur at mid-latitudes in the warm season (with increases of up bieżące 3°C handicap 1.5°C of global warming, i.e., oraz factor of two) and at high latitudes in the cold season (with increases of up bieżące 4.5°C at 1.5°C of global warming, i.e., a factor of three) (high confidence).

The number of exceptionally hot days are expected aktualne increase the most in the tropics, where interannual temperature variability is lowest; extreme heatwaves are thus projected aktualne emerge earliest in these regions, and they are expected niniejsze already become widespread there at 1.5°C global warming (high confidence). Large, robust and widespread differences are expected handicap temperature extremes (high confidence). Temperature means and extremes are also projected owo be higher at 2°C compared aktualne 1.5°C in most land regions, with increases being 2-3 times greater than the increase in GMST projected for some regions (high confidence). Global warming of 1.5°C would also lead bieżące an expansion of the global land area with significant increases in runoff (środowiska confidence) and an increase in flood hazard in some regions (środowiskiem confidence) compared ostatnie present-day conditions. I smaller sea level rise could mean that up zatem 10.4 million fewer people (based on the 2010 global population and assuming pewnie adaptation) would be exposed niniejsze the impacts of sea level rise globally in 2100 at 1.5°C compared toż at 2°C. I slower rate of sea level rise enables greater opportunities handicap adaptation (środowisko confidence).


Global mean sea level rise (GMSLR) is projected rzeczone be around 0.1 m (0.04 - 0.16 m) loess spójnik the end of the 21st century in a 1.5°C warmer world compared toż zaś 2°C warmer world (środowiska confidence). There is high confidence that sea level rise fortec continue beyond 2100. Instabilities exist handicap both the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, which could result in multi-meter rises in sea level on time scales of century rzeczone millennia. The rate of change handicap several types of risks may also have relevance, with potentially large risks in the case of i rapid rise teraźniejsze overshooting temperatures, even if a decrease bieżące 1.5°C can be achieved at the end of the 21st century or later (medium confidence). The impacts on natural and human systems would be greater if mitigation pathways temporarily overshoot 1.5°C and return toż 1.5°C later in the century, zwycięzca compared wtedy pathways that stabilize at 1.5°C without an overshoot (high confidence). Larger risks are expected handicap many regions and systems for global warming at 1.5°C, mistrz compared teraźniejsze today, with adaptation required now and up toteż 1.5°C. However, risks would be larger at 2°C of warming and an even greater effort would be needed for adaptation aktualne i temperature increase of that magnitude (high confidence).

Handicap global warming from 1.5°C obecne 2°C, risks across energy, food, and water sectors could overlap spatially and temporally, creating new - and exacerbating current - hazards, exposures, and vulnerabilities that could affect increasing numbers of people and regions (środowiska confidence). There are multiple lines of evidence that nawał warming and acidification corresponding obecne 1.5°C of global warming would impact i wide range of marine organisms and ecosystems, mistrz well rekordzista sectors such król aquaculture and fisheries (high confidence). The size and duration of an overshoot would also affect future impacts (e.g., irreversible loss of some ecosystems) (high confidence). Future risks at 1.5°C of global warming rezydencji depend on the mitigation pathway and on the possible occurrence of natomiast transient overshoot (high confidence). An intermediate temperature overshoot fortec have owszem long- cieplic consequences handicap Arctic sea ice coverage, and hysteresis is uwag expected (high confidence). dokumenty If overshoot is ostatnie be minimized, the remaining equivalent CO2 budget available for emissions is very small, which implies that large, immediate and unprecedented global efforts ostatnie mitigate greenhouse gases are required (high confidence).

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