Notes

Asia wood pellet market analysis and prediction
Asia wood pellet market evaluation and prediction
In Asia, Japan and also Korean are significant wood pellet importers, while China, Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia and Malaysia are generally wood pellets merchants. As the wood pellet market in Europe is anticipated to level off, Asia will be an additional drive engine in the biomass pellet sector.

Japan
Promote plans
Japan has actually formulated a series of promote measures to advertise renewable energy production and also biomass power generation, such as the Basic Law of promoting biomass energy application in 2009 and state preparation to promote biomass power application.

One of the most influential plan is Fixed-price Assistance for Renewable Energy (FIT) performed since July 2012. According to this policy, Electric power firms are required to have particular section of biomass energy power generation, like solar photovoltaics and biomass power at set price and also duration. Ever since, the wood pellets intake matures quickly in Japan.

After ir pellet press in 2010, the power generation profile come to be a lot more diversified. Japan ministry of economy, trade as well as market (METI) re-exam the purchase price of FIT yearly, so the renewable resource cost is unsteady for power generation firms.

Production, consumption as well as cost
According to the information of FAOSTAT in 2016, the residential wood pellets production is 90,000 bunches in the past 5 years. However Japan need to import more wood pellets as a result of the huge usage. In 2015, it import 230,000 lots from Canada, China as well as Vietnam. Offered the domestic manufacturing and also import volume, Japan's wood pellets consumption is 320,000 heaps in 2015.

Japan usually import high-quality wood pellets as well as export low-quality pellets. The import cost is 178 Euro/ton, while the export price is 129 Euro/ton.

The planned biomass power plants
Considering that the carry out of FIT in 2011, there have been more than 100 biomass power plant building tasks, and 84 of them have actually been approved.

The federal government aims to boost the percentage of renewable energy by 2030, with solar power using up 15%, and biomass and hydropower 10%. Besides, the government plan to develop a biomass energy zone to develop a thorough biomass energy utilization system.

Oji Eco-friendly Resources as well as Mitsubishi Paper Mills likewise constructed a joint venture business to build a 75MW biomass nuclear power plant in Aomori. It is anticipated to start production in 2019.

Future biomass pellets demand
FIP plan will certainly remain to advertise the biomass energy application in Japan. According to the prediction of Strauss, Japan will certainly need 15 million lots of biomass pellets in the mid-2020s.

Oriental
Renewable energy plan
Renewable Profile Standard (RPS) plays an important function is Korean's wood pellet market given that 2012. It calls for the power generation firm to increase the proportion of renewable resource from 2% to 10%.

Biomass power is anticipate to take up 50% -60% of sustainable power, amongst wind, solar, as well as water powers. With the apply of RPS, the need and also import of wood pellets in Korean boost swiftly.

RPS can reduce the power generation price by competitive innovation seepage as well as elevate renewable resource supply. However the nuclear power plant owners need to boost their management price.

Manufacturing and need
According to the information of FAOSTAT, The wood pellet manufacturing in Oriental is 15,000 t, which can not meet domestic demand As reported by Bloomberg New Power Money, Korean's wood pellet need is 2.2 million heaps in 2014, around 40% of England's. The wood pellet import in Korean has increase from 122,000 t in 2012 to 1850,000 t in 2014. 70% of them comes from Vietnam, as well as others from Malaysia, Canada, America, Russia, Indonesia, and Australia.

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As reported by Energy Details Administration (EIA), Korean's demand for wood pellets maintain increasing, driven by the RPS plan. Oriental federal government has actually set a goal to import 5 million tons of wood pellets by 2020 to meet 75% of domestic need. They will be mainly imported from Canada, Southeast Asia and also America.

China
Renewable energy policy
China's renewable energy market matures swiftly over the last few years. In 2013, China's National Power management released an instruction on constructing a renewable energy profile standard. It requires renewable energy must occupy 15% of complete energy intake by 2020, as well as 20% in 2030. According to this guideline, the power generation company must make use of certain section of renewable resource. But the guidance as well as charge system is not full.

Manufacturing, export and also consumption
China has plentiful resource of biomass, consisting of plant waste, branch, animal waste, natural waste water, metropolitan garbage. According to the data of National Energy Administration, the forestry waste is 900 million lots yearly, with 1/3 of them can be made use of as fuel.

In the past few years, China's wood pellet manufacturing increase quickly. It exported 287,000 lots of wood pellets to Oriental in 2014. Yet in 2015, the export decreases swiftly when faced with Vietnam's low-price competition, yet the growing Japan market produces new opportunities.

Owing to the except wood product supply and also the enhancing production expense, China's wood pellet cost boosts to 105 Euro/ton. So it is not as affordable as in the past.

China's wood pellet usage is mostly in the east as well as Guangdong province, where coal boilers are outlawed as well as the wood pellet price is lower.


Vietnam
Vietnam has numerous massive furnishings producers. So there are abundant wood wastes to make wood pellets, and the cost is the lowest in Asia. And the large wood pellet plant in Asia can promote the economic situation of range.


Vietnam is a major wood pellet merchant in Asia. It occupies 70% of Oriental wood pellet market, and supplies affordable price as reduced as 90 Euro/ton to Korean as well as Japan market. Besides, pellet mill ring die from Vietnam to Korean is rather low.

However, Korean is most likely to increase the wood pellet import standard, or announce the prospective buyers beforehand. These plans will prevent Vietnam's trade with Oriental. On the other hand, Japan will certainly prepare comparable policies to impede Vietnam dealerships from getting involved in Japan market.

Malaysia, Indonesia as well as Thailand
Compared with Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia and also Thailand are all small wood pellets manufacturers and also merchants. In 2015, Indonesia and also Malaysia specifically exported 150,000 tons as well as 60,000 tons of wood pellets to Oriental. They additionally export percentage of Palm bit shells (PKS) to Japan. Intoxicated of supplement, top quality as well as amount, the buying price is high.


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