Notes

French Open Trading Talk
One of the greatest ever rivalries in sport has been given a boost after Roger Federer beat Rafael Nadal in the Madrid Open, and tennis spread bettors have been given a bit more to think about in the run up to the French Open. Although most, including Sporting Index's traders will be shocked by Rafa’s loss, Roland Garros spread buyers will not feel too concerned. This was the fifth clay loss suffered by Rafa in 155 matches, and only his fifth since 2005. The victory of Federer and the confidence he will bring to France will be a big draw for buyers of Federer’s tournament index.

The irrepressible Nadal has not lost a single match at Roland Garros since 2004, having beaten his arch rival Roger Federer in the last three finals. If the outcome in Madrid forbids any confident spread betting on the top two players in the world, punters may decide to look elsewhere, and spread betting interest is sure to be high in Andy Murray, who recently climbed to number three in the rankings. Sellers of his spread will however remind us of his surprise quarter-final defeat in Madrid and a disappointing third-round exit at Roland Garros last year.

Spread betting is a great way for punters to bet on multiple aspects of a match, including the winner. Site If you look at the Rafa era, 2005 onwards, three of the four finals were won by Rafa in four sets. Last year's win was achieved in straight sets. The average number of games in finals in this period is 34.25, although spread sellers will be encouraged by last year's one-sided match - Federer only managed to claim four games in the whole match, and it took just 22 games for Rafa to earn his fourth title. Buyers or sellers of the games supremacy spread for the men's final will note that Nadal's supremacy over Fed in 2008 was an emphatic 14 games. In 2007, he won six more games than Federer, and only three in 2006.

It is refreshing to see that Justine Henin, who won the French Open ladies' competition for the naughties in France, can be considered seriously for the title of 2009. Dinara Safina, last year's runner up in the WTA rankings has since moved to the top and spread buyers will be hopeful that she can do better this year. Buyers of the Williams sisters' spread will be encouraged that both have had a strong year, but spread sellers will note that neither has appeared in the final at Roland Garros since they faced each other seven years ago. Spread bettors who are interested in game supremacy should know that the average supremacy of the women's final in the past five years has been 7.4. The highest spread make up in that period was a substantial 10 games when Mary Pierce, crowd favourite, was defeated by Henin in 2005.
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