Notes

Basic BlackJack Strategy
Contrary to what many gamblers may think, blackjack is not just the game of guessing. Most casino games are guessing games. There are two strategies to play blackjack. The basic strategy is the most effective. A mathematically optimized strategy is the most effective strategy. It maximizes your chances of winning while also reducing your losses over time.

You might be aware that many popular games of cards do not have a fundamental strategy. For instance, there is no fundamental strategy for poker. A poker player plays his hands according to whether or not that his opponent holds a powerful hand or might be lying, and if the player himself has an extremely strong hand, or decide to attempt to fake bluff.

A basic strategy cannot exist for any card game as long as the opponent is able to make decisions, regardless of whether the choices are good or not regarding how to play his hand. There wasn't a blackjack strategy to be found for hundreds of years. Blackjack was not a casino game that required the dealer to be obliged to display only one card and then play the game according to house rules. It was more a poker game, which had both the dealer's as well as the player's card hidden. The dealer was able to play however he liked and players were able to try to bluff the dealer.

The American casinos made important changes in the rules for Twenty-One . They required players to reveal one of the dealer’s cards and make it mandatory that the dealer follow the hit/stand method. They fundamentally altered the game from a poker-style game with a greater emphasis on psychology to a strictly mathematical game as in the sense that the player's strategy was concerned.

What is the reason that the basic Strategy works ... The "Odds", Why Basic Strategy Work


We'll assume that today's dealers play fair games for our purposes. No sleight-of-hand, no chicanery. Although we will not forget the First Rule of Professional Gamblers we'll temporarily forget it to be able to analyze the logic behind each game and reveal the fundamental strategy that eliminates most of the house’s mathematical edge. Most of the games found in casinos are fair and honest. If you come across an unfavorable game, it's not on your level, you shouldn't attempt to beat it.

Mathematicians used high-speed computers to study every single hand and dealer upcard in order to determine the best basic strategy for the honest dealt game. One thing that may have stunned the first mathematicians to conduct the computer-based analyses was that the basic strategy that was nearly perfect had actually already been figured out and released by four GIs with desk jobs and a lot of free time in the late 1950s. While games people play did not have computers they had spent three years using mechanical add machines to calculate the various outcomes. This may have been the most valuable value Uncle Sam ever got from four GIs' wages!

We also know that some pretty good approximations of correct basic strategies were figured out by a variety of professional gamblers in the Nevada years before computers came onto the scene. one player games came up with the strategy by dealing hands with their tables in the kitchen. Certain decisions involved thousands, tens or thousands or even hundreds of thousands of hand. The guys, like the majority of professional gamblers since then, never published their strategies since they were pros. Blackjack was their livelihood and they'd logged hundreds of hours figuring it out. Why would they tell anyone else about what they had learned?

There is one thing that is certain: the casinos didn't know the best strategy for playing the game. This was also true for those who had read the most reputable books on the subject. A lot of Hoyle's old guides advised players to always remain on the totals of 15 or 16 regardless of the dealer's card was, to split tens and not split nines and also to stand on soft 17. The "smart" gamblers of the period, those who read one these books on gambling by reputable authorities, made many plays that remain very costly in the present.

Many people don't get the logic behind basic strategy. Let me provide an example. When my hand totals 14, and the dealer has a 10 upcard, blackjack strategy advises me to hit. It is the correct mathematical strategy. Sometimes you will hit that 14 and then draw an 8, 9, or 10 and then bust. Then the dealer will turn over his hole card, which is a 6, and you will find that if have held your 14 the dealer would have needed to reach his total of 16 and was busted by that 10. Thus, by making the "mathematically appropriate" decision, you forfeited the chance to have won had you violated basic strategy.

Certain players will assert that there really isn't a fundamental strategy that is correct. Blackjack according to them, is a guessing game.

To understand basic strategy, you need to start thinking as a professional player, and that means you have be aware of "the blackjack odds."

Let me give you an alternative example to show the mathematics of statistics and probability the basic logic behind strategies. Let's say I own a jar with one hundred marbles. The majority of the marbles are white while the other fifty of them are black. You need to open your blindfold and take out one marble, but before you do so, you must place bets of $ 1 on the marble you pull out will be white or black. If you pull out the color you picked then you win $1 If you don't the marble is black, you will lose $ 1.

Are you sure?

free play . It's impossible to determine which marble color you'll take out before the time. It's a good thing should you be successful. If you lose, it is poor luck.

What if you found out that 90 percent of the marbles on the list are black and 10 percent are white? Would you rather bet on black or white prior to you draw? If you were a smart person, you would select black. Although it is possible to get white marbles out however, you're more likely to find a black marble. It's a guessing game and it's possible to lose $1 in the event that a white marble gets removed. But if you're betting on black, odds favor the black marble.

Professional gamblers earn their living by thinking about "the odds" and only placing bets when odds are favorable. If he bets on this the gambler should bet on black because odds are 9-to-1 to his advantage. If you place your bet on white, odds are 9-1 against you.

You may lose if the dealer shows an upcard of 10. However, odds are not in your favor if the dealer shows a 10.

If you take your decisions by playing your hunches, you may win some hands however you'll lose more hands over time. There's only one correct decision for any given play and that decision is solely based on math. Whether or not you should hit or stand, or double down or split a pair, depends on what the laws of probability tell you what your expected outcome to be for each of these possibilities.



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