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After taking yet another week off, the UFC returns this Saturday with UFC Vegas 62, headlined by a women’s flyweight fight between Alexa Grasso and Viviane Araujo. It’s a bit of a lackluster card (plus we lost Askar Askarov vs. Brandon Royval), so I’ve only got one straight bet this week, but with UFC 280 just around the corner, any excuse to lay some action down beforehand and build the bankroll is a welcome one. Let’s get to it.
As always, all odds are courtesy of our friends at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC
Raphael Assuncao, +320
While this is a potentially reckless bet, the odds make it one I have to play. Yes, Assuncao is 40 years old, has lost four in a row, and hasn’t fought in 10 months, but Victor Henry is not some world beater. He’s a solid veteran who spent most of his career in Japan, he’s 35 years old, and Assuncao is the best opponent he’s ever faced. Yes, Henry looked good in his UFC debut, but Assuncao made a career out of making people exactly like Henry struggle. If Assuncao has any juice left, the line should be tighter here, so I’m taking a shot at long odds.
Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC
Prop Bets Alexa Grasso/Viviane Araujo Does Not Go To Decision, +150 See the article : Netflix Advertisement Rollout Won’t Include Crypto Ads .
One of my bolder bets this week, but I just have a feeling about it. The numbers don’t back me up, with nine of Grasso’s 15 wins coming by decision and Araujo going to the scorecards in six straight bouts before this, but a key difference between those fights and this one is that this is a five-rounder. Prior to their UFC stints, both Grasso and Araujo were decent finishers, and with a potential title shot on the line in this one, I think both women are coming out looking to make a statement. They may have to dip into the extra rounds to make that statement, but one of them will get the job done.
Alonzo Menifield By KO/TKO/DQ, +100
I like Menifield just fine but this bet isn’t about him, it’s about fading Misha Cirkunov. Cirkunov is 35 and has lost six of his last eight fights. That’s a really bad sign. Even worse, he’s moving back up to light heavyweight after a brief, failed attempt to make a run at 185 pounds. When a fighter starts bouncing around weight classes in search of the solution, the true answer is that he or she is simply done. I certainly think that’s the case of Cirkunov and expect Menifield to be able to keep this standing and land the power shots to put the Canadian away.
Photo by Mike Roach/Zuffa LLC
See the article : 7 nabbed for illegal gambling in Cebu 7 nabbed for illegal gambling in Cebu CEBU CITY – Police arrested… Parlay of the Week Jonathan Martinez (-205) and Mana Martinez (-150)
I’m not above a gimmick bet, and doing the Martinez parlay is absolutely that (there’s also a Rodriguez parlay available on this card but I’m not doing that for reasons I’ll explain later). Fortunately, I also think it’s a good bet. See the article : National Lottery jackpot split between more than a million players as no one matches every number .
I love Cub Swanson, but he’s about to be 39 and he’s going to be making his bantamweight debut. There’s simply no way this ends well. Martinez is a solid fighter who should be able to outwork the past-his-prime version of “Killer Cub.”
For the other leg, Mana Martinez is showing some real promise as a prospect. He needs to shore up the wrestling, but that’s not Brandon Davis’ game, and on the feet, I think he’s cleaner and more effective. Plus, Martinez is a James Krause fighter, so I know he’ll come in with a good game plan.
Parlay these two bets together for +147 odds.
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