Notes

Basic BlackJack Strategy
Contrary to what many gamblers think blackjack isn't simply a guessing game. A majority of casino games are guessing games. However, with every blackjack hand there is a right strategy and an incorrect strategy. The most basic strategy is the right strategy. The best strategy is the mathematically optimal strategy-that is, it will maximize your wins and minimize your losses over time.

A lot of other games on cards such as poker do not have a fundamental strategy. For instance, there's no standard strategy in poker. Poker players play their hands according to whether or not that his opponent holds an extremely strong hand, or could be playing bluff, and whether the player himself has an extremely strong hand, or want to attempt a fake bluff.

There is no standard strategy for any game of cards so long as your opponent is able to make decisions about the best way to play. For a long time there was no standard blackjack strategy as it was not a casino game that required the dealer to show one card and play his hand according to house rules. It was more playing poker, which had both the dealer's as well as the player's card hidden. The dealer was able to play however he liked and players were able to try to fool him.

The time that the American casinos changed the rules of twenty-one in order to reveal one of the dealer's decks and demand that the dealer stick to a strict stand/hit strategy, something significant occurred. They fundamentally altered the game from a poker-style game with a greater emphasis on psychology to a pure mathematical game, as far as the player's strategy was concerned.

The Essential Strategy that Works... The "Odds"

For our purposes, we're going to start with an assumption that today's dealers are playing an honest game. No sleight-of-hand, no chicanery. We're not going to forget the First Rule of Professional Gamblers, but we're going to briefly ignore it until we can understand the logic of the game, and reveal the fundamental strategy that can end the edge that casinos have mathematically. The majority of games played in casinos today are fair and fair. If you come across an unfavorable game, it's not on your level, you shouldn't even try to beat it.

For the honestly dealt game using high-speed computers, mathematicians have examined every hand you can hold against every possible dealer upcard to determine the most effective basic strategy for the game. The fact that the fundamental strategy was almost perfect amazed mathematicians who were the first to utilize computers to analyze computer data. This was due to four GIs with desk jobs during the mid-1950s and plenty of time. Even though they didn't have computers they'd been using mechanical add machines in order to calculate all possible outcomes. It was possibly the most value Uncle Sam ever got from four GIs' salaries!

We also know that a number of professional gamblers from Nevada were capable of figuring out basic strategies before computers were widely used. The strategy was figured out by the players at their kitchen tables. Thousands, tens of thousand, or even hundreds of thousands of hands were required for certain decisions. Similar to most professional gamblers these guys never published their strategies. Blackjack was their primary source of income, and they'd spent hours studying it. They wouldn't tell anyone the details of what they had learned.

There is one thing that is certain that casinos weren't aware of the best strategy for playing the game. This was especially true for those who had read the most reputable books on the subject. play games advised players to always stand on the totals of 15 or 16 regardless of the dealer's hand was as well as to split tens and never split nines, and also to stand on soft 17. The "smart" gamblers at the period, those who read one these books on gambling by reputable authorities, made a number of plays which are still extremely costly today.

Many don't grasp the reasoning behind the strategy. Let me provide an example. Blackjack strategy instructs me to hit when my hand is 14 when the dealer hands me a 10-upcard. That is the mathematically right play. Sometimes you'll be lucky enough to hit the 14, and then draw an 8, 9, 10 or 10 to bust. The dealer will flip over his hole card, a 6, and you will be aware that if you'd have stood on your 14, the dealer would have had to hit his total of 16 and was busted by that 10. So, by making the "mathematically appropriate" play, you lost a hand you would have won had you violated basic strategy.

Some players might argue that there really isn't a fundamental strategy that is right. Blackjack, they insist is a game of guessing.


In order to understand the basic strategy, you have to start thinking as a professional player, and that means you have to understand the concept of "the blackjack odds."

Let me take another example to demonstrate the maths of probability and statistics, the logic of basic strategies. Let's suppose fun two player games have a jar with 100 marbles. The marbles in the jar are black while fifty of them are white. You must reach in blindfolded and pick out one marble. However, before you do so you have to place bets of $ 1 on whether that marble you choose to pull out will be black or white. If you pull out the color you picked, you win $ 1 If not, you lose $ 1.

Are you playing a guessing game?

Absolutely. It's difficult to know the color of marble you'll pull out ahead of time. It's a good thing if you win. If you lose, it's bad luck.

But what if you found out that 90% of those marbles are black and only ten marbles are white? What if you were to bet on black or white before you draw? Any intelligent person would bet on black. There is a chance, of course, to find white marbles, but you're much less likely to find an white marble than one that is black. It's a guessing game and you could still lose $1 in the event that a white marble gets taken out. However, if your bet is on black, the odds are in favor of you.

free to play pc games earn their living by always thinking in terms of "the odds", and only betting when the odds are in his favor. This bet would see the gambler betting on black since the odds to win are 9: 1. There are 9:1 chance of losing money if you opt for white.

In other words, if you return to that 14 when the dealer showed a 10 upcard, you might lose when you take a strike, but the odds are against you if you remain.

You may win some hands if you play your intuitions however, you'll be losing more at the final. There is only one right choice for any given game and it is made solely based on math. The laws of probability determine your expectations for each scenario.



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