Notes

Asia wood pellet market analysis and prediction<br>
In Asia, Japan and Korean are major wood pellet importers, while China, Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia and also Malaysia are primarily wood pellets exporters. As the wood pellet market in Europe is expected to level off, Asia will certainly be an additional drive engine in the biomass pellet industry.



Japan

Stimulate policies

Japan has actually created a collection of boost steps to advertise renewable resource manufacturing and also biomass power generation, such as the Basic Legislation of advertising biomass energy application in 2009 and also state preparation to promote biomass energy application.



The most influential plan is Fixed-price Support for Renewable Energy (FIT) performed considering that July 2012. According to this policy, Electric power firms are obliged to have particular portion of biomass energy power generation, like solar photovoltaics and biomass energy at set price as well as duration. Ever since, the wood pellets intake matures swiftly in Japan.



After the Fukushima nuclear mishap in 2010, the power generation portfolio end up being more varied. Japan ministry of economic situation, profession as well as industry (METI) re-exam the acquisition price of FIT each year, so the renewable resource expense is unstable for power generation business.



Manufacturing, intake and also cost

According to the information of FAOSTAT in 2016, the residential wood pellets production is 90,000 heaps in the past 5 years. Yet Japan need to import more wood pellets as a result of the huge usage. In 2015, it import 230,000 loads from Canada, China as well as Vietnam. Offered the domestic manufacturing and import volume, Japan's wood pellets consumption is 320,000 lots in 2015.



Japan typically import high-quality wood pellets and export low-grade pellets. The import price is 178 Euro/ton, while the export price is 129 Euro/ton.




The planned biomass power plants

Because the execute of FIT in 2011, there have actually been greater than 100 biomass power plant construction jobs, and 84 of them have actually been accepted.



The federal government intends to increase the proportion of renewable resource by 2030, with solar energy using up 15%, and biomass and also hydropower 10%. Besides, the government plan to develop a biomass energy area to establish a comprehensive biomass energy usage system.




Oji Environment-friendly Resources and also Mitsubishi Paper Mills also constructed a joint venture enterprise to build a 75MW biomass power plant in Aomori. It is expected to start manufacturing in 2019.



Future biomass pellets demand

FIP plan will remain to advertise the biomass energy application in Japan. According to the prediction of Strauss, Japan will certainly require 15 million lots of biomass pellets in the mid-2020s.



Korean

Renewable resource plan

Renewable Profile Standard (RPS) plays a vital function is Korean's wood pellet market given that 2012. It requires the power generation business to increase the percentage of renewable resource from 2% to 10%.



Biomass energy is anticipate to take up 50% -60% of sustainable power, among wind, solar, and also water powers. With the carry out of RPS, the need and import of wood pellets in Oriental boost quickly.



RPS can lower the power generation price by affordable modern technology seepage as well as increase renewable energy supply. But the power plant owners have to boost their monitoring expense.



Production and demand

According to the information of FAOSTAT, The wood pellet manufacturing in Oriental is 15,000 t, which can not satisfy domestic need As reported by Bloomberg New Energy Financing, Korean's wood pellet need is 2.2 million bunches in 2014, around 40% of England's. The wood pellet import in Korean has rise from 122,000 t in 2012 to 1850,000 t in 2014. 70% of them originates from Vietnam, and others from Malaysia, Canada, America, Russia, Indonesia, and also Australia.



Future need.

As reported by Power Info Administration (EIA), Korean's need for wood pellets keep enhancing, driven by the RPS plan. Oriental federal government has set an objective to import 5 million tons of wood pellets by 2020 to fulfill 75% of domestic demand. They will certainly be mainly imported from Canada, Southeast Asia as well as America.



China

Renewable energy policy

China's renewable resource market grows up rapidly over the last few years. In 2013, China's National Power management published an instruction on building a renewable energy portfolio standard. It requires renewable resource needs to use up 15% of total energy usage by 2020, and also 20% in 2030. According to this law, the power generation company need to make use of certain portion of renewable energy. However the supervision and also charge system is not total.



Manufacturing, export as well as usage

China has abundant source of biomass, consisting of plant waste, branch, pet waste, natural drainage, metropolitan garbage. According to the data of National Power Management, the forestry waste is 900 million lots every year, with 1/3 of them can be made use of as gas.



In the past couple of years, China's wood pellet production rise swiftly. It exported 287,000 lots of wood pellets to Oriental in 2014. Yet in 2015, the export decreases rapidly in the face of Vietnam's low-price competitors, but the growing Japan market creates new chances.



Owing to the except wood product supply and the increasing production cost, China's wood pellet rate boosts to 105 Euro/ton. So it is not as competitive as previously.



China's wood pellet consumption is generally in the eastern and Guangdong province, where coal boilers are banned and also the wood pellet expense is reduced.



Vietnam

Vietnam has several large-scale furniture suppliers. So there are plentiful wood wastes to make wood pellets, as well as the expense is the lowest in Asia. As well as the huge wood pellet plant in Asia can promote the economic climate of scale.



Vietnam is a significant wood pellet exporter in Asia. It takes up 70% of Korean wood pellet market, and offers affordable rate as low as 90 Euro/ton to Oriental and also Japan market. Besides, the transport expense from Vietnam to Korean is rather reduced.



Nevertheless, Oriental is likely to increase the wood pellet import standard, or announce the prospective buyers in advance. These plans will prevent Vietnam's trade with Korean. At the same time, Japan will prepare comparable policies to impede Vietnam dealers from getting involved in Japan market.



Malaysia, Indonesia as well as Thailand

Compared to Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand are all little wood pellets producers as well as exporters. In richi pellet mill , Indonesia as well as Malaysia specifically exported 150,000 heaps as well as 60,000 tons of wood pellets to Oriental. underwater pelletizer export percentage of Hand kernel shells (PKS) to Japan. Intoxicated of supplement, quality and also amount, the getting rate is high.


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