Notes

NFL Betting Myths That Can Lose You Money
Given the massive
popularity of the NFL, it's not surprising that the sport is shrouded in
So much of betting is based on misunderstanding and misperception. One point is important:
These myths are likely to have contributed to your gambling experience.
Your money and your bets. Let's separate the betting myths.
Realism is the best way to make sure you never lose money again.
Myth #1: Betting lines are created to beat the public.
Reality:
Except for the Super Bowl, almost all other roles are played by the public
During the line-making process. The betting line is created and adjusted to
Meet the professional gamblers, because they are the ones who will give their opinion.
casual fan, who bets serious money on the game.


Myth #2: Balanced action is possible with betting lines
Reality
The goal is to create a line of betting that is equal in value.
attraction to both favorite and underdog players, it rarely works out
that way. More typically, a third of the games on the NFL schedule will
have an insignificant amount of betting to cause much of a concern,
Another third of the participants will be able to place active, balanced wagers and the remainder
third will have mostly one-way action. How the house was traditionally built is what matters.
fares on these lopsided games, called "decisions," determines whether
Books win or lose.


Myth #3: Bookmakers have insider information they can use to create "trap" games.
Reality:
It's hard to believe that almost everyone has access to the internet these days.
It's not so much about the information, but how it is interpreted. Bookmakers
still may occasionally receive information regarding injuries or
weather changes before players, but thanks to technology, that advantage
often can be measured in seconds. A bookmaker could find a bookmaker many years ago.
He might offer some valuable data to try and lure the bettor.
The "wrong" side. These days are over as insider information has all but eliminated them.
It has been dissolved and there is no "trap" game.


Myth #4: Bettors have the edge early in the season because odds makers and bookmakers need more time to assess the teams.
Reality:
More hours are spent analyzing the opening week of the NFL season than
Any other is. A detailed, in-depth assessment of NFL teams begins more
It was less than a month prior to the kickoff. It's true that some teams do not have the time to prepare for kickoff.
often do not tip their hand during the preseason or against weak,
Players are better able to discover non-divisional foes
deception than are bookmakers. Historically, the first six weeks of the
season have been very kind to bookmakers. That's probably not just luck.


Myth #5: Professional gamblers pick their spots, betting just a couple of games a weekend.
Reality
Actually, sophisticated gamblers bet a lot of games. This is how it works
Way: You can make serious money if you are a skilled gambler.
There are very few games in which a mistake or an official's call could make you lose.
The wider the net is tossed, the less of a factor luck becomes in the
End result


Myth #6 - Wiseguys place more money on games they actually enjoy.
Reality
More than any misconception, this myth probably best illustrates the
difference between how professionals and amateurs think. Professional
A gambler believes that betting on a game worth playing is worthwhile.
significantly. Professional gamblers typically wager about the
They will receive the same amount for every game they play. The concept of a "best bet" is a
media creation that is foreign to professional sports bettors.
Professional gamblers believe that all of their bets are profitable.
they make them.


Myth #7: Bettors can win by concentrating on a specific conference, division or region.
Reality:
It's unlikely. It's not enough to have one specific area of expertise
because the NFL schedule demands that teams play half their games
outside their own division. Knowing the strength of a team is worthless
If you don't know the strength of your opponent, it is difficult to win.


Myth #8 - Statistical betting trends are important.
Reality
Technical analysis may be popular but it's hardly meaningful.
Professional gamblers don't trust the underdog/favourite.
Gridiron often cites home/away point spread analysis
"Handicappers" It's just another method of back fitting dismissed as
irrelevant by wise guys.


Myth #9 - It is foolish to place bets on rumors
Reality
Oh, yes it is. depo 50 bonus 30 to x5 If a professional gambler hears a rumor, that could be an example.
Peyton Manning has the flu and is too ill to play quarterback for the
Colts, he'll bet quickly on Indianapolis' opponent. If the rumor is
Correct, the gambler took the line in a game that was certain to win
change. If the rumor is false, then he's played Indianapolis' opponent
at a fair price. Since most lines are accurate, the bettor takes little
betting risk in chasing a rumor.


Knowing that these things are all myths in the NFL world will definitely increase your chances of winning NFL football betting games.
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