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Fico Gutierrez and the risk of "Uribe’s candidate"
Since the night of Sunday, Federico Fico Gutierrez was the most consistent presidential candidate in Colombia. This isn't his first appearance in an electoral roll. He was previously a mayor and councilor in Medellin. The first time he was tested in national elections which saw him receive more than 2 millions votes from the Team for Colombia coalition, made him the preferred candidate of conservative movements. Fico (47-year old Fico) is the primary opposition to Gustavo Petro. The Historic Pact movement, along with Gustavo Petro, was one the winners of the last night's elections which determined who will be the main political parties. is only getting underway. How former Mayor Medellin can counter petrismo and forge alliances and negotiate with foreign nations will determine his chances of success. He won't just need to bring all of the right to his banner however, he must also to win over a portion of the population of the middle, which has been depressed and without an impressive leadership. In order to do that it will be necessary to continue avoiding the same thing he has avoided to date by not appearing in the same photo with the former president Alvaro Uribe. Today's open support for uribism is the first in 20 years. Instead of adding, it might subtract. "Federico Gutierrez faces a dilemma. He must make an alliance, Uribe's side and the Democratic Center. However, the challenge is convincing Uribe and the center, which will have to decide its course," Yann basset, analyst at the University of Rosario.

Fico's first conquest was made this week as it began to form an alliance with CD which is in which uribism can be concentrated. The candidate for that party up until Monday, the former presidential candidate Oscar Ivan Zuluaga, took his leave, acknowledged the few opportunities to compete with him and offered his support. Now will see if the entire Uribismo collective - which has been left without a representative elected does the same. Uribe will be able to publicly support his candidate and persuade his voters by presenting the classic issues that are part of the Colombian left. This shouldn't be a problem for him. of "security" and 'order opportunities' and 'love for fatherland' already showed that Uribe is able to add votes. He confirmed this on Sunday during the consultation on electoral reform, as he did previously in Antioquia's mayor's offices, where he was also known as the sheriff of Medellin. On a recent visit to Arauca which has been particularly hard hit by violence, he stated that the bandits were either in prison or in graves. Fico knows exactly what Colombian law is fond of. But it won't suffice for him.

"We aren't in the year the year 2018, when the fear of left had worked, but this time, voters are not influenced by fear," Basset points out. Basset suggests that Fico might not receive Uribe's blessing due to the fact that Alvaro Uribe is not the absolute leader the country has seen since 2002 which was the year that Uribe was elected president. However, this doesn't mean that Uribismo's vote, regardless of whether they do not match the criteria are not important to Gutierrez. As was the case this Sunday, or in his attempt to gain access to Medellin's mayor's post, Uribe supported Gutierrez even when he was the presidential candidate of his party. Uribism is also responsible for this win in the coalition. Basset warns that right now, his negotiation skills are going to be constrained. "To persuade the right to not invest all his resources in this alliance, will be his measure." Andres Méjia Vergnaud discusses the relationship between Fico's former president and Fico. He claims that Federico Gutierrez wants Uribismo votes but not Uribe photos because it isn't the right thing for him to be his own candidate.

While on the left there is only one leader, Gustavo Petro, on the right there is still a man who is heading towards the presidential elections in the event that Fico is able to negotiate, or if he manages to negotiate - convinces him to withdraw and support him. Rodolfo Hernandez, who launched independently, is still in the race. Gutierrez should include in his list of candidates the former mayor Bucaramanga the billionaire builder who was able to score well in polls due to his speech against corruption in a humorous voice.

Gutierrez is likely to have lots to discuss before he begins thinking about possible presidential formula names. However, what Gutierrez has is the cooperation and support of the other candidates in the Team for Colombia presidency. It's not all that. He is surrounded by two former mayors Enrique Penalosa (Bogota) and Alex Char (Barranquilla); the leader of the Conservative party, David Barguil, and one woman, Aydee Lizarazo, of the Christian party, who usually votes judiciously as ordered from the lectern of his church.

In addition to the resurgence of the Conservative Party - it achieved the most votes of the right-wing forces for Congress with more than two million votes, it is also backed by the U Party, which also enjoyed a strong vote in the legislative with just over 1 million votes. Oscar Ivan Zuluaga's backing, who didn't let Sunday's election be lost, in order to take his defeat prior to a possible conflict for votes from the right gives Fico an advantage in a conservative section but it also keeps him away from potential votes from the middle. The announcement of Alvaro Uribe, the former President, which summoned his party for a meeting Tuesday, will determine the extent to which Fico will be willing to give up his chances to be a center-right candidate to be openly the blessed Uribe.
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