Notes

The 3 Ways to Make Money with Sports Betting
토토사이트 , methods and strategies to make money with sports bets proliferate on the net, and on the lips of many fans. Many of them even propose systems to earn money in a continuous and systematic way, drawing newcomers to the world of an idyllic paradise of unlimited profits.

We are sorry to say that this ideal world does not exist.

Beating a bookmaker in the long run is an arduous and difficult task, in which most bettors are doomed to fail. The individual bettor faces companies with huge Make Money Sports Bettingbudgets dedicated to research and technology. There is no news that moves in the world of sport that they do not know, nor data or statistics that does not appear in their powerful information servers before it reaches the public. Its technological level reaches the point that the goals scored live are usually updated on its website before even the television announcer sings them. The odds they offer are calculated with a powerful mathematical and probabilistic arsenal behind, to which the spread is added.or bookmaker margin. Bettors are not only faced with statistics, but are playing a game that is not zero-sum, but of unfavorable odds on average. The profits that the bookmakers show at the end of the year come precisely from the losses of the great mass of bettors. And these benefits are certainly large.

However, there is a minority of individual bettors who win money continuously and sustained over time. Even that allows them to live off their bets and dedicate themselves professionally to it.

How is it possible?

There are three basic loopholes through which we can be part of that minority that makes money through gambling. Is this not contradictory to the above? No. Make no mistake about it, the bookmaker cannot be beat systematically and in the long term. But to the rest of bettors, yes. These three methods are simple and known to true professionals, who use them successfully in their operations. And they are the only ones with which we can establish entry and exit strategies for our profitable long-term bets.

Let's see, then, the three ways to ally with the bookmakers and obtain benefits thanks to it. And as a bonus, we will give you an additional tip to start betting directly with benefits.

Method 1: Directional Bets
Compass - Directional or Value BetsDirectional betting is simply betting on an outcome. Behind it lies the basic mechanism of betting: we put money in favor of a certain team, if I win I take it multiplied by the quota, if not, I lose it. So we play simply against the probability of the outcome, something that the bookmakers handle perfectly.

Does it make economic sense to bet this way?

Yes, in a single situation: when the implicit probability of the odds offered by the bookmaker is lower than the real probability that the result will happen. In this case, the bet is said to have value .

With an example, let's imagine a soccer match: Real Sociedad - Real Betis Balompié. Let us assume that the odds for the victory of Real Sociedad is 2. This means that the probability that the bookmaker assigns to this result is 50%. Therefore, it only makes sense to bet if the real probability of Real beating Betis is greater than 50%.

This is not a frequent situation, but rather the opposite. As we explained earlier, bookmakers have enormous human and technical resources, so they handle statistics and probability better than anyone. However, it does sometimes happen that the bookmaker is forced to move the odds outside of what the statistics mark them, and that situation can be created precisely by erroneous estimates of the mass of bettors. If a large part of the money is concentrated in certain results, it is very common for the bookmaker to modify the odds of the complementary results to make them more attractive to other bettors and balance their risk, thus providing an opportunity for long-term profit. .

Again with our example, if most of the betting money goes to draws or Betis wins, our bookmaker may choose to offer odds of 2.2 or 2.4 that assume implied odds of 45% and 42% respectively. With these odds and a real probability of 50% it makes all the sense in the world to bet on the Royal Society. The bet therefore offers value to the bettor, in Anglo-Saxon terms, its expected value or expected value is positive. To evaluate them, we have developed this method of analyzing the value of sports bets .

With this mechanism, the individual bettor helps the bookmaker to rebalance the market, and effectively positions himself against the other bettors.

Method 2: Arbitrage betting
In investment terms, the word arbitrage is used when a sure profit can be obtained in situations where two or more markets are out of balance with each other. In betting, as a large market that is where probabilities of events are bought and sold, it is possible - and very profitable - to apply this concept. Who wouldn't be delighted to find a Betting arbitrage or how to win safe bets on football and other sportssafe profit opportunity ? To do this, we simply have to find a match where the opposite results give us odds whose sum of probabilities is less than 100%. Or put another way, where the net spread is negative.

One moment. If we had agreed that the spread was the margin of the bookmaker ... no house will offer odds for a game where you lose for sure!

Indeed, no. The key is to compare the odds of various bookmakers. No bookmaker will give us their margin, but it may be possible that due to market dynamics, two bookmakers are forced to adjust their odds so that a bettor takes a position in one bookmaker, and the opposite in another. , so that regardless of the result a profit can be obtained.

With our soccer example: if a bookmaker offers odds 2 for the victory of Real Sociedad, and another bookmaker offers odds 2.4 for the draw or defeat of the real, investing 100 euros in the first bookmaker and 83 in the second , we will obtain a SAFE profit of 17 euros, regardless of the result:

If the Real Sociedad wins: we have invested 183 euros, the prize is 100 x 2 = 200 euros, we obtain a profit of 17 euros
If Real Sociedad draws or loses: invested: 183 euros, prize = 83 x 2.4 = 200 euros, profit 17 euros
Note that the probabilities of the handled quotas are 50% and 42%, whose sum is 92%.

Again, this situation will occur in cases where two bookmakers have two opposite results unbalanced. With this double operation we are helping them to balance their positions, placing ourselves against the majority of bettors.

Method 3: Sports Trading
The concept of sports trading also comes from the stock market. It consists, in the purest style of stock speculation, in negotiating with the temporal evolution of the quotas of a party. As we have Sports Tradingcommented before, the bookmakers dynamically move their odds as the bets are settled to ensure that they compensate each other, and they obtain their profit from the spread .

The most obvious situation of this evolution of the quotas is during live matches. Let's take our clash between Real Sociedad and Betis again as an example. Let's imagine that the game begins with a 0-0 draw, it is very stuck, and we believe that it is very likely that it will end like this. We place a bet on a tie, let's say with odds 3. After 20 minutes, if the score hasn't moved, the odds will have been reduced to, let's say 2.4, since the probability that the match will end in a draw will have increased. If now the game opens and we estimate that either team can score, we can choose to close our position and win the difference in odds, in two possible ways

betting simultaneously on the two complementary results (it should be ensured that the implicit margin in these other odds allows it)
selling our position draw, or equity terms, putting short to the tie
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